---
title: "Knife case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Knife ($69.88) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.51% from 167 items with odds, observed 92.79% over 10K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Knife

A case on Skin.club (By quality), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife?window=all)

Price · $69.88

Advertised RTP · 92.51% · EV $64.64 from 167 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.79% · 10K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.59% ±6.90 1,164 openings

7 days · 92.70% ±2.87 6,786 openings

30 days · 92.79% ±2.36 10K openings

since tracking started · 92.79% ±2.36 10K openings

86.0% 93.5% 101.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife?window=24h) | 1,164 | 93.59% ±6.90 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife?window=7d) | 6,786 | 92.70% ±2.87 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife) | 10K | 92.79% ±2.36 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife?window=all) | 10K | 92.79% ±2.36 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 167 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,971 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,152 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,142 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,141 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,857 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,694 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,579 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,439 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,410 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.99× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,349 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,289 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.99× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,251 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,150 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,085 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,073 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,053 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,047 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,034 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 10,000 | $913 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 10,000 | $907 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $883 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $856 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $850 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $840 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $717 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $645 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $627 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $615 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.99× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $602 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $587 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $559 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $546 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $545 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.99× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $538 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $530 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 5,000 | $485 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $480 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $477 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $474 | 0.1% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $467 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $465 | 0.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $458 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $441 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $438 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $417 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $416 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $415 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $403 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $392 | 0.1% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 5,000 | $383 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $363 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $351 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.49× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $344 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.49× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $340 | 0.2% | 6 | 3.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $333 | 0.2% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $331 | 0.2% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $322 | 0.1% | 6 | 3.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $321 | 0.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $317 | 0.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,000 | $313 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $310 | 0.2% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.59× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,000 | $306 | 0.2% | 9 | 5.0 | 1.79× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $301 | 0.2% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $301 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $300 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $292 | 0.2% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $288 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $287 | 0.2% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $285 | 0.2% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.59× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $283 | 0.2% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,000 | $282 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $281 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $265 | 0.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $264 | 0.2% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $253 | 0.2% | 9 | 5.0 | 1.79× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $252 | 0.2% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $247 | 0.2% | 10 | 5.0 | 1.99× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $245 | 0.2% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $245 | 0.2% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $229 | 0.2% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.59× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $223 | 0.2% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $223 | 0.2% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $219 | 0.2% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $211 | 0.2% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $207 | 0.2% | 11 | 6.0 | 1.83× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $206 | 0.2% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $205 | 0.2% | 13 | 6.0 | 2.16× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $204 | 0.2% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $202 | 0.2% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $201 | 0.2% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.71× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $200 | 0.2% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.71× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Immortal · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,429 | $198 | 0.2% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.85× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $193 | 0.2% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $188 | 0.2% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.71× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $186 | 0.2% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $183 | 0.2% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $183 | 0.2% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $175 | 0.2% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.85× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $173 | 0.2% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.71× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $168 | 0.2% | 10 | 7.0 | 1.42× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $168 | 0.3% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $168 | 0.3% | 12 | 10.0 | 1.20× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $167 | 0.3% | 11 | 10.0 | 1.10× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $166 | 0.3% | 13 | 10.0 | 1.30× |
| [★ Flip Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife) | 1 in 1,000 | $166 | 0.3% | 12 | 10.0 | 1.20× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $160 | 0.3% | 8 | 12.0 | 0.66× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $159 | 0.3% | 11 | 12.0 | 0.91× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $159 | 0.3% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.16× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $157 | 0.3% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 833 | $156 | 0.3% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $151 | 0.3% | 11 | 12.0 | 0.91× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $150 | 0.3% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $149 | 0.3% | 11 | 12.0 | 0.91× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $143 | 0.3% | 6 | 12.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $142 | 0.3% | 16 | 12.0 | 1.33× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $139 | 0.3% | 15 | 15.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $139 | 0.3% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $136 | 0.3% | 9 | 15.0 | 0.60× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $134 | 0.3% | 14 | 15.0 | 0.93× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $132 | 0.3% | 14 | 15.0 | 0.93× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $128 | 0.3% | 15 | 15.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $128 | 0.3% | 8 | 15.0 | 0.53× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $127 | 0.3% | 6 | 15.0 | 0.40× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $126 | 0.3% | 19 | 15.0 | 1.26× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $124 | 0.3% | 17 | 15.0 | 1.13× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $124 | 0.3% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.86× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $123 | 0.4% | 20 | 20.1 | 1.00× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $122 | 0.4% | 13 | 20.1 | 0.65× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $122 | 0.4% | 23 | 20.1 | 1.15× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $122 | 0.4% | 20 | 20.1 | 1.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 500 | $121 | 0.4% | 31 | 20.1 | 1.54× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $119 | 0.4% | 17 | 20.1 | 0.85× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $117 | 0.4% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.05× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $114 | 0.4% | 16 | 20.1 | 0.80× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $108 | 0.3% | 20 | 20.1 | 1.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $108 | 0.3% | 15 | 20.1 | 0.75× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $105 | 0.3% | 16 | 20.1 | 0.80× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $103 | 0.3% | 17 | 20.1 | 0.85× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $95.33 | 0.7% | 76 | 50.2 | 1.52× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $95.26 | 1.5% | 121 | 100.3 | 1.21× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $88.04 | 1.4% | 87 | 100.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $84.65 | 1.3% | 111 | 100.3 | 1.11× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $83.15 | 1.3% | 89 | 100.3 | 0.89× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $80.52 | 1.2% | 84 | 100.3 | 0.84× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $79.33 | 1.2% | 107 | 100.3 | 1.07× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $72.91 | 1.1% | 94 | 100.3 | 0.94× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $71.63 | 1.1% | 86 | 100.3 | 0.86× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $70.80 | 1.1% | 89 | 100.3 | 0.89× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $68.94 | 1.1% | 159 | 100.3 | 1.58× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $68.93 | 1.1% | 104 | 100.3 | 1.04× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $67.84 | 2.1% | 207 | 200.7 | 1.03× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $66.84 | 2.1% | 171 | 200.7 | 0.85× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $55.76 | 1.7% | 219 | 200.7 | 1.09× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $51.42 | 1.6% | 204 | 200.7 | 1.02× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $49.23 | 1.5% | 290 | 200.7 | 1.45× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $47.99 | 1.5% | 253 | 200.7 | 1.26× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $46.56 | 2.9% | 599 | 401.3 | 1.49× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $46.11 | 4.3% | 313 | 602.0 | 0.52× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $45.81 | 3.5% | 507 | 501.6 | 1.01× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $45.74 | 3.5% | 587 | 501.6 | 1.17× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $45.53 | 4.2% | 533 | 602.0 | 0.89× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $44.25 | 4.8% | 628 | 702.3 | 0.89× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $44.25 | 4.4% | 610 | 652.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $44.06 | 4.8% | 675 | 702.3 | 0.96× |
| [★ Navaja Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife) | 1 in 14 | $41.47 | 4.5% | 658 | 702.3 | 0.94× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $41.43 | 4.5% | 738 | 702.3 | 1.05× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $39.95 | 4.3% | 728 | 702.3 | 1.04× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/knife`, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [clau \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/clau%20%3C3) $70.83 $2,970 41.93x 2026-11-09 12:00 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [ThinCrustt](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ThinCrustt) $70.95 $2,970 41.86x 2026-11-08 09:20 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [Kurviiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Kurviiy) $70.88 $2,970 41.90x 2026-11-08 03:22 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [Mary Grace Piattos](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mary%20Grace%20Piattos) $71.10 $2,175 30.59x 2026-11-03 09:17 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Balaskoni](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Balaskoni) $70.83 $2,142 30.25x 2026-11-09 15:21 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [Kloonkish](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Kloonkish) $69.98 $2,141 30.60x 2026-11-10 19:15 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [jonneilia](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/jonneilia) $69.89 $2,131 30.49x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [Azure Tracker](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Azure%20Tracker) $70.83 $2,115 29.85x 2026-11-09 18:52 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [BELISTREAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BELISTREAM) $70.96 $2,077 29.27x 2026-11-05 18:50 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [MisterHartless](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MisterHartless) $70.88 $2,010 28.36x 2026-11-08 02:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=knife)

[★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $69.92 $45.64 0.65x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-well-worn) [Ivory Marlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ivory%20Marlin) $69.92 $52.86 0.76x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $69.92 $43.64 0.62x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $69.92 $43.64 0.62x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $69.92 $67.17 0.96x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $69.92 $68.99 0.99x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.92 $45.86 0.66x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) [Ivory Marlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ivory%20Marlin) $69.92 $88.04 1.26x 2026-11-11 21:48 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $69.92 $67.83 0.97x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife) Hidden $69.92 $41.47 0.59x 2026-11-11 21:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $69.88 | 92.51% | 167 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $69.89 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $70.15 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $70.37 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $70.20 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $69.98 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $70.23 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $69.94 | 92.51% | 167 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $70.02 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $70.49 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $70.62 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $70.83 | 92.49% | 167 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $70.98 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $70.84 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $70.94 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $70.95 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $70.88 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $70.90 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $71.15 | 92.51% | 167 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $71.09 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $71.15 | 92.51% | 167 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $71.11 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $71.06 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $71.07 | 92.51% | 167 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $70.90 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $70.80 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $70.70 | 92.49% | 167 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $70.96 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $70.89 | 92.50% | 167 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $70.89 | 92.50% | 167 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 16.3% covert 54.8% rare 0.4% gold 21.0% epic 0.3% legendary 0.1% sunny 0.2% Covert 7.0% best hit $2,970 (41.93x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.51 on average: an expected loss of $7.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt