--- title: "Lady Luck case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lady Luck ($130.49) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.04% over 3,486 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck rendered: 2026-11-12T04:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Lady Luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Lady Luck A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck?window=all) Price · $130.49 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.04% · 3,486 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 882 openings · below min 7 days · 94.33% ±5.61 3,008 openings 30 days · 95.04% ±5.19 3,486 openings since tracking started · 95.04% ±5.19 3,486 openings 80.0% 90.5% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck?window=24h) | 882 | 88.73% ±8.06 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck?window=7d) | 3,008 | 94.33% ±5.61 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck) | 3,486 | 95.04% ±5.19 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lady-luck?window=all) | 3,486 | 95.04% ±5.19 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $129 $4,899 37.94x 2026-11-08 02:06 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) [5ir5m0ki](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/5ir5m0ki) $129 $4,852 37.52x 2026-11-06 23:51 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) Hidden $129 $2,235 17.30x 2026-11-08 05:26 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [Mv.mL16\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Mv.mL16*-3110700) $130 $2,234 17.17x 2026-11-04 15:12 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) Hidden $130 $2,234 17.18x 2026-11-03 11:38 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) [5ir5m0ki](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/5ir5m0ki) $129 $2,181 16.93x 2026-11-09 00:38 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) Hidden $129 $2,148 16.70x 2026-11-09 07:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $130 $1,815 13.95x 2026-11-04 14:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [joaqui](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/joaqui) $130 $1,735 13.38x 2026-11-06 19:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $126 $1,707 13.57x 2026-11-10 00:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=lady-luck) [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) [🤍 Mitchell! 🤍](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%F0%9F%A4%8D%20Mitchell!%20%F0%9F%A4%8D) $124 $93.87 0.76x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) Hidden $124 $102 0.82x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [kulyalele](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kulyalele) $124 $48.65 0.39x 2026-11-12 03:17 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $124 $48.65 0.39x 2026-11-12 03:17 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [PinEight](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/PinEight) $124 $48.54 0.39x 2026-11-12 01:48 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) Hidden $124 $83.43 0.67x 2026-11-12 01:48 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $125 $63.37 0.51x 2026-11-12 00:51 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $125 $61.99 0.50x 2026-11-12 00:51 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-field-tested) Hidden $125 $94.08 0.75x 2026-11-12 00:51 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Yellow](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Yellow) $125 $545 4.36x 2026-11-12 00:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,899 (37.94x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.04 on average: an expected loss of $4.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt