--- title: "Level 3 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Level 3 ($0.05) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.56% from 11 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3 rendered: 2026-11-12T01:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Level 3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Level 3 A case on Skin.club (daily cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3?window=all) Price · $0.05 Advertised RTP · 74.56% · EV $0.04 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 50.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 100.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-3?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $17.36 | 19.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Facility Dark (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Facility Sketch (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Grey Smoke (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-grey-smoke-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Plum Netting (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-plum-netting-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Gum Wall Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-gum-wall-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Canvas Cloud (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-canvas-cloud-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Silver Pour (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-silver-pour-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SCAR-20 \| Zinc (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-zinc-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Coral Paisley (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-coral-paisley-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-3`, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=lvl-3) [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Jawed420](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jawed420) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [1](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/1) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [MARICARMEN JETA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MARICARMEN%20JETA) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Tyres](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Tyres) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 11:17 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Entekam](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Entekam) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 06:33 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [💜 LOVE SKINS 💜](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%F0%9F%92%9C%20LOVE%20SKINS%20%F0%9F%92%9C) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 05:38 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [wheresmyhouse](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/wheresmyhouse) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-11 00:07 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [RushB](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RushB) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-10 22:26 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Dudu](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dudu) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-10 20:58 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [LDS\_lulu76](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LDS_lulu76) $0.05 $17.36 347.2x 2026-11-10 19:48 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.05 | 74.56% | 11 | | 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.05 | 74.04% | 3 | | 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.05 | 74.82% | 3 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.0% consumer 30.0% #b0c3d9 30.0% Uncommon 10.0% light blue 10.0% Common 10.0% industrial 10.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.56 on average: an expected loss of $25.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt