---
title: "Level 50 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Level 50 ($0.58) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.75% from 5 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Level 50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Level 50

A case on Skin.club (daily cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50?window=all)

Price · $0.58

Advertised RTP · 89.75% · EV $0.52 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 319.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 610 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/lvl-50?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 610 | $256 | 80.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-field-tested) | 20.6% | $0.18 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) | 20.6% | $0.18 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Mandrel (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-mandrel-factory-new) | 28.5% | $0.05 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Calligrafaux (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-calligrafaux-field-tested) | 30.1% | $0.04 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-50`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [G](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/G) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-10 00:35 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [GhoulG24](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/GhoulG24) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-10 00:07 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [⸸Z3R0⸸](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%B8%B8Z3R0%E2%B8%B8) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 20:37 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [HacksonJackson](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/HacksonJackson) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 20:01 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [SD229](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SD229) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 18:27 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Thunder doggy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Thunder%20doggy) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 17:46 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [qkorabota](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/qkorabota) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 12:18 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Red Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Red%20Panda) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 12:05 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Thích Va Chạm](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Th%C3%ADch%20Va%20Ch%E1%BA%A1m) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 10:56 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Fa7Sushi](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Fa7Sushi) $0.58 $256 441.6x 2026-11-09 08:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=lvl-50)

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Chud Chud Sahur](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Chud%20Chud%20Sahur) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-12 04:41 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Lobotomite](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Lobotomite) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-12 02:58 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Evil Albanian](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Evil%20Albanian) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-12 02:28 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [X9 1Tap\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/X9%201Tap%60) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [OTEbuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/OTEbuck) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-11 23:36 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Jonathan Applesauce](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jonathan%20Applesauce) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-11 22:57 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [CH3CH0](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/CH3CH0) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-11 22:54 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [VYR ✪TG-cvh](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/VYR%20%E2%9C%AATG-cvh) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-11 22:01 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [DrBackshotsMD](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DrBackshotsMD) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [hulio](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/hulio) $0.58 $250 431.7x 2026-11-11 19:10 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.58 | 89.75% | 5 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% #4b69ff 20.6% pink 20.6% Common 28.5% Uncommon 30.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.75 on average: an expected loss of $10.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
