--- title: "M9 Bayonet Knives case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "M9 Bayonet Knives ($96.45) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.91% over 2,556 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives rendered: 2026-11-13T04:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [M9 Bayonet Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · M9 Bayonet Knives A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives?window=all) Price · $96.45 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.91% · 2,556 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 268 openings · below min 7 days · 93.66% ±10.08 1,805 openings 30 days · 94.91% ±7.86 2,556 openings since tracking started · 94.91% ±7.86 2,556 openings 76.0% 96.0% 116.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives?window=24h) | 268 | 95.91% ±19.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives?window=7d) | 1,805 | 93.66% ±10.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives) | 2,556 | 94.91% ±7.86 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/m9-bayonet-knives?window=all) | 2,556 | 94.91% ±7.86 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-sapphire) [kEod](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kEod) $82.28 $4,479 54.44x 2026-11-10 18:22 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $95.31 $4,287 44.98x 2026-11-07 16:19 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $95.82 $1,492 15.57x 2026-11-06 14:41 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) [minU](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/minU) $95.70 $1,254 13.11x 2026-11-04 16:25 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $95.82 $1,217 12.70x 2026-11-05 09:14 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $95.84 $1,201 12.53x 2026-11-05 12:42 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) [水濑](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E6%B0%B4%E6%BF%91) $95.78 $1,201 12.53x 2026-11-05 11:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $94.69 $1,184 12.50x 2026-11-08 23:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $82.87 $1,160 14.00x 2026-11-10 02:29 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $81.61 $1,129 13.84x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=m9-bayonet-knives) [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-minimal-wear) Hidden $81.89 $40.53 0.49x 2026-11-13 04:53 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) Hidden $81.89 $42.86 0.52x 2026-11-13 04:53 UTC [USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) [LuckyGalan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/LuckyGalan) $81.89 $25.62 0.31x 2026-11-13 04:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $82.16 $34.25 0.42x 2026-11-13 02:52 UTC [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-minimal-wear) [SkyDraggn](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SkyDraggn) $82.16 $40.53 0.49x 2026-11-13 02:52 UTC [MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-minimal-wear) Hidden $82.16 $40.53 0.49x 2026-11-13 02:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $82.16 $60.72 0.74x 2026-11-13 02:52 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) Hidden $82.21 $42.91 0.52x 2026-11-13 02:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $82.21 $116 1.42x 2026-11-13 02:37 UTC [USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) [GomatoX](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/GomatoX) $82.21 $25.62 0.31x 2026-11-13 02:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,479 (54.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.91 on average: an expected loss of $5.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt