--- title: "MADRUGA case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "MADRUGA ($12.92) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.63% over 19 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga rendered: 2026-11-12T10:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [MADRUGA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · MADRUGA A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga?window=all) Price · $12.92 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.63% · 19 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 19 openings · below min 30 days · 19 openings · below min since tracking started · 19 openings · below min 39.5% 76.8% 114.0% **Small sample.** 19 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga?window=7d) | 19 | 76.63% ±36.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga) | 19 | 76.63% ±36.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/madruga?window=all) | 19 | 76.63% ±36.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=madruga) [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) [Drippi Grandpaps](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Drippi%20Grandpaps) $13.12 $6.58 0.50x 2026-11-09 23:51 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) [DinoGuts](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DinoGuts) $13.12 $6.58 0.50x 2026-11-09 23:51 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) [labubonico da silva](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/labubonico%20da%20silva) $13.12 $9.36 0.71x 2026-11-09 23:51 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.92 $6.55 0.51x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) [cerolziN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/cerolziN) $12.92 $6.55 0.51x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.92 $6.55 0.51x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.92 $52.76 4.08x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.92 $6.55 0.51x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.92 $9.41 0.73x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.92 $13.16 1.02x 2026-11-05 21:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.63 on average: an expected loss of $23.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt