---
title: "Major Legends case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Major Legends ($1.57) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.56% from 23 items with odds, observed 92.90% over 38.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend
rendered: 2026-11-12T16:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Major Legends](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Major Legends

A case on Skin.club (Sticker Capsules), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend?window=all)

Price · $1.57

Advertised RTP · 92.56% · EV $1.45 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.90% · 38.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.60% ±9.12 4,023 openings

7 days · 92.48% ±3.52 29.3K openings

30 days · 92.90% ±3.11 38.1K openings

since tracking started · 92.90% ±3.11 38.1K openings

88.0% 97.8% 107.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend?window=24h) | 4,023 | 97.60% ±9.12 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend?window=7d) | 29.3K | 92.48% ±3.52 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend) | 38.1K | 92.90% ±3.11 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/majors-legend?window=all) | 38.1K | 92.90% ±3.11 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Falcons (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-falcons-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 667 | $63.33 | 6.5% | 90 | 57.2 | 1.57× |
| [Sticker \| THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thunderdownunder-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 500 | $44.17 | 6.1% | 105 | 76.2 | 1.38× |
| [Sticker \| Vitality (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vitality-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 400 | $32.20 | 5.5% | 89 | 95.3 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| FlyQuest (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flyquest-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 333 | $19.37 | 4.0% | 186 | 114.3 | 1.63× |
| [Sticker \| GamerLegion (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 250 | $17.34 | 4.8% | 150 | 152.4 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Astralis (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-astralis-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 200 | $15.94 | 5.5% | 142 | 190.5 | 0.75× |
| [Sticker \| FUT (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fut-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 200 | $14.73 | 5.1% | 186 | 190.5 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Aurora (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aurora-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 200 | $12.90 | 4.4% | 223 | 190.5 | 1.17× |
| [Sticker \| BIG (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 167 | $12.46 | 5.1% | 206 | 228.6 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| Lynn Vision (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 167 | $11.18 | 4.6% | 198 | 228.6 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| Monte (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-monte-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 167 | $10.85 | 4.5% | 219 | 228.6 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| PARIVISION (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-parivision-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 167 | $8.70 | 3.6% | 214 | 228.6 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Legacy (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-legacy-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 154 | $7.41 | 3.3% | 275 | 247.7 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| Falcons (Foil) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-falcons-foil-cologne-2026) | 1 in 154 | $7.19 | 3.2% | 305 | 247.7 | 1.23× |
| [Sticker \| HEROIC (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-heroic-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 143 | $7.03 | 3.4% | 241 | 266.7 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| 9z Team (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9z-team-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 143 | $6.67 | 3.2% | 246 | 266.7 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| MIBR (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 111 | $6.22 | 3.9% | 345 | 343.0 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| FUT (Foil) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fut-foil-cologne-2026) | 1 in 100 | $1.72 | 1.2% | 379 | 381.1 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| THUNDERdOWNUNDER \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thunderdownunder-cologne-2026) | 1 in 100 | $1.64 | 1.1% | 373 | 381.1 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Team Liquid \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-cologne-2026) | 1 in 100 | $0.60 | 0.4% | 279 | 381.1 | 0.73× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-cologne-2026) | 41.4% | $0.39 | 11.1% | 4,522 | 15776.3 | 0.29× |
| [Sticker \| MOUZ \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-cologne-2026) | 1 in 56 | $0.36 | 0.4% | 13,762 | 685.9 | 20.06× |
| [Sticker \| Lynn Vision \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-cologne-2026) | 45.0% | $0.29 | 9.0% | 15,372 | 17148.2 | 0.90× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/majors-legend`, 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=majors-legend)

[Sticker | HEROIC (Holo) | Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-heroic-holo-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $7.03 4.48x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $0.39 0.25x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | MOUZ | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $0.36 0.23x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-cologne-2026) [Spooke](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Spooke) $1.57 $0.39 0.25x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Lynn Vision | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $0.29 0.18x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Astralis (Holo) | Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-astralis-holo-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $15.94 10.15x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Lynn Vision | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $0.29 0.18x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Lynn Vision | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-cologne-2026) [Spooke](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Spooke) $1.57 $0.29 0.18x 2026-11-12 16:22 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $0.39 0.25x 2026-11-12 16:21 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere | Cologne 2026 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.57 $0.39 0.25x 2026-11-12 16:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC | $1.57 | 92.56% | 23 |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $1.56 | 92.73% | 23 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $1.57 | 92.63% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.59 | 92.34% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $1.59 | 92.61% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.67 | 92.51% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.61 | 92.39% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.63 | 92.37% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.60 | 92.24% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.63 | 92.67% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.60 | 92.37% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.55 | 92.54% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.54 | 92.42% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.73 | 92.58% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $1.75 | 92.71% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $1.76 | 92.74% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.74 | 92.46% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $1.77 | 92.50% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $1.77 | 92.35% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $1.77 | 92.72% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $1.73 | 92.31% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $1.75 | 92.38% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $1.81 | 92.34% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.78 | 92.44% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $1.79 | 92.28% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $1.82 | 92.36% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $1.75 | 92.39% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.71 | 92.43% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.70 | 92.70% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.68 | 92.44% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 8.2% Mythical 1.7% Rare 90.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.56 on average: an expected loss of $7.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt