---
title: "Mid case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Mid ($10.10) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.49% from 17 items with odds, observed 92.52% over 87.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Mid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Mid

A case on Skin.club (Battle cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case?window=all)

Price · $10.10

Advertised RTP · 92.49% · EV $9.34 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.52% · 87.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.17% ±2.21 15.1K openings

7 days · 92.88% ±1.04 71.6K openings

30 days · 92.52% ±0.94 87.5K openings

since tracking started · 92.52% ±0.94 87.5K openings

90.5% 93.3% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case?window=24h) | 15.1K | 93.17% ±2.21 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case?window=7d) | 71.6K | 92.88% ±1.04 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case) | 87.5K | 92.52% ±0.94 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mid-case?window=all) | 87.5K | 92.52% ±0.94 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 87.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $173 | 1.9% | 83 | 87.6 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $88.59 | 1.1% | 104 | 105.1 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $79.86 | 1.0% | 157 | 105.1 | 1.49× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 455 | $62.78 | 1.5% | 132 | 192.7 | 0.68× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 294 | $56.08 | 2.0% | 2,345 | 297.8 | 7.87× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $43.02 | 18.4% | 1,508 | 3503.8 | 0.43× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $34.00 | 14.6% | 4,500 | 3503.8 | 1.28× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $27.01 | 17.3% | 5,295 | 5255.8 | 1.01× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $26.01 | 16.7% | 5,314 | 5255.8 | 1.01× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $8.29 | 5.3% | 4,256 | 5255.8 | 0.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $6.83 | 5.8% | 6,885 | 7007.7 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $4.72 | 4.0% | 7,034 | 7007.7 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $2.59 | 2.2% | 7,159 | 7095.3 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.39 | 2.6% | 8,880 | 8759.6 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $1.67 | 2.0% | 9,661 | 9635.6 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) | 13.0% | $1.54 | 2.1% | 11,309 | 11387.5 | 0.99× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.81 | 1.3% | 12,974 | 13139.4 | 0.99× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/mid_case`, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=mid-case)

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) Hidden $10.08 $1.55 0.15x 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) Hidden $10.08 $1.55 0.15x 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $10.08 $6.85 0.68x 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) [CataPUTERNIK BMW MPOWER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/CataPUTERNIK%20BMW%20MPOWER) $10.08 $6.85 0.68x 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [f1sh](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/f1sh) $10.10 $33.69 3.34x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.08 $2.62 0.26x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) [ScreaMy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ScreaMy) $10.08 $1.67 0.17x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $10.08 $6.85 0.68x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) Hidden $10.08 $1.55 0.15x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC

[SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.08 $0.82 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $10.10 | 92.49% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $10.09 | 92.49% | 17 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $10.07 | 92.48% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $10.03 | 92.52% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $10.03 | 92.47% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $10.06 | 92.50% | 17 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $10.08 | 92.51% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $10.05 | 92.53% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $10.06 | 92.53% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $11.21 | 92.49% | 17 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $11.24 | 92.46% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $11.22 | 92.54% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $11.26 | 92.52% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $11.29 | 92.50% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $11.27 | 92.46% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $11.28 | 92.49% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $11.26 | 92.51% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $11.23 | 92.49% | 17 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $11.20 | 92.47% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $11.21 | 92.47% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $11.16 | 92.52% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $11.19 | 92.54% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $11.17 | 92.48% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $11.21 | 92.46% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $11.15 | 92.47% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $11.06 | 92.52% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $11.17 | 92.49% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $11.19 | 92.48% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $11.12 | 92.53% | 17 |
| 4 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $11.12 | 92.46% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.8% classified 0.1% Ancient 4.0% red 6.0% Legendary 14.0% restricted 24.0% #8847ff 8.1% violet 11.0% Rare 13.0% mil spec 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.49 on average: an expected loss of $7.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt