--- title: "Nightmare Mansion case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nightmare Mansion ($1.58) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.87% over 61.5K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion rendered: 2026-11-12T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Nightmare Mansion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Nightmare Mansion A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion?window=all) Price · $1.58 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.87% · 61.5K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 93.51% ±4.08 30.4K openings 30 days · 92.87% ±2.83 61.5K openings since tracking started · 92.87% ±2.83 61.5K openings 89.0% 93.5% 98.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion?window=7d) | 30.4K | 93.51% ±4.08 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion) | 61.5K | 92.87% ±2.83 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nightmare-mansion?window=all) | 61.5K | 92.87% ±2.83 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Zabuza](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Zabuza) $1.55 $233 150.3x 2026-11-04 21:58 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.55 $230 148.6x 2026-11-03 18:49 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $1.59 $229 144.3x 2026-11-04 01:06 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $1.58 $229 144.8x 2026-11-03 01:52 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [P.i.i](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/P.i.i) $1.54 $229 148.4x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.56 $227 145.7x 2026-11-03 08:32 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Real Dad Buy Milk](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Real%20Dad%20Buy%20Milk) $1.54 $227 147.3x 2026-11-05 17:41 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [La Calvoche](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/La%20Calvoche) $1.60 $224 140.0x 2026-11-08 12:17 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $1.60 $224 139.7x 2026-11-08 13:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) Hidden $1.56 $213 136.3x 2026-11-05 21:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=nightmare-mansion) [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-field-tested) Hidden $1.51 $0.58 0.38x 2026-11-11 04:43 UTC [MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-factory-new) [dienosakcija](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/dienosakcija) $1.51 $3.50 2.32x 2026-11-11 04:43 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.51 $0.82 0.54x 2026-11-11 04:43 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) Hidden $1.51 $0.61 0.40x 2026-11-11 04:43 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) Hidden $1.51 $0.61 0.40x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC [Sticker | Death Comes sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-death-comes) Hidden $1.51 $0.63 0.42x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) Hidden $1.51 $0.61 0.40x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [RealTeddy2](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RealTeddy2) $1.51 $0.82 0.54x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) Hidden $1.51 $0.61 0.40x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC [Sticker | Death Comes sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-death-comes) Hidden $1.51 $0.63 0.42x 2026-11-11 04:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $233 (150.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.87 on average: an expected loss of $7.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt