---
title: "Pirate King case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Pirate King ($4.18) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.44% from 40 items with odds, observed 93.43% over 34.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Pirate King](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Pirate King

A case on Skin.club (Anime Cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece?window=all)

Price · $4.18

Advertised RTP · 92.44% · EV $3.86 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.43% · 34.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.36% ±6.15 3,090 openings

7 days · 93.25% ±2.14 26.1K openings

30 days · 93.43% ±1.86 34.8K openings

since tracking started · 93.43% ±1.86 34.8K openings

85.5% 92.3% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece?window=24h) | 3,090 | 92.36% ±6.15 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece?window=7d) | 26.1K | 93.25% ±2.14 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece) | 34.8K | 93.43% ±1.86 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/one-piece?window=all) | 34.8K | 93.43% ±1.86 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $172 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $132 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.91× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $108 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $105 | 0.1% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.30× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $98.68 | 0.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $89.32 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $86.49 | 0.4% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.72× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $85.85 | 0.4% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.72× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $83.52 | 0.6% | 7 | 10.5 | 0.67× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $80.73 | 0.6% | 12 | 10.5 | 1.15× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $78.28 | 0.6% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $70.52 | 0.9% | 23 | 17.4 | 1.32× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $63.00 | 1.1% | 26 | 24.4 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 588 | $53.17 | 2.3% | 61 | 59.2 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 588 | $47.83 | 2.1% | 74 | 59.2 | 1.25× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-field-tested) | 1 in 588 | $43.95 | 1.9% | 59 | 59.2 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $43.35 | 3.6% | 110 | 111.5 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 313 | $38.52 | 3.2% | 113 | 111.5 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $24.47 | 6.3% | 355 | 348.4 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $18.10 | 6.8% | 557 | 505.2 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $13.46 | 6.4% | 646 | 644.6 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $10.69 | 6.4% | 815 | 801.3 | 1.02× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $9.96 | 6.4% | 878 | 871.0 | 1.01× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $8.71 | 6.1% | 923 | 940.7 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $7.73 | 6.6% | 1,112 | 1149.8 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.53 | 5.2% | 1,360 | 1550.4 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $4.33 | 4.1% | 1,434 | 1289.1 | 1.11× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $4.10 | 4.5% | 1,495 | 1480.7 | 1.01× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.16 | 3.9% | 1,594 | 1654.9 | 0.96× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $2.45 | 3.4% | 1,854 | 1846.6 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $2.39 | 3.3% | 1,842 | 1846.6 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $1.58 | 2.3% | 2,035 | 1968.5 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $1.29 | 1.9% | 2,054 | 1985.9 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.22 | 1.9% | 2,123 | 2055.6 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $1.14 | 1.8% | 1,986 | 2090.5 | 0.95× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.75 | 1.2% | 2,164 | 2160.1 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.51 | 0.8% | 2,189 | 2236.8 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.40 | 0.7% | 2,297 | 2282.1 | 1.01× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.40 | 0.7% | 2,309 | 2282.1 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.26 | 0.5% | 2,304 | 2351.8 | 0.98× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/one-piece`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=one-piece)

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $4.17 $13.43 3.22x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) [១២៣](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E1%9F%A1%E1%9F%A2%E1%9F%A3) $4.17 $1.58 0.38x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $4.17 $0.26 0.06x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 $1.58 0.38x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 $0.40 0.10x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) [១២៣](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E1%9F%A1%E1%9F%A2%E1%9F%A3) $4.17 $1.29 0.31x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-factory-new) Hidden $4.17 $1.20 0.29x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 $0.75 0.18x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 $2.45 0.59x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Osiris (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-field-tested) [១២៣](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E1%9F%A1%E1%9F%A2%E1%9F%A3) $4.17 $2.36 0.57x 2026-11-12 05:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $4.18 | 92.44% | 40 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $4.18 | 92.43% | 40 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $4.17 | 92.39% | 40 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $4.17 | 92.51% | 40 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $4.18 | 92.58% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $4.16 | 92.48% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.16 | 92.45% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.16 | 92.48% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.16 | 92.61% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.14 | 92.56% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $4.16 | 92.42% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $4.16 | 92.43% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $4.18 | 92.56% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $4.19 | 92.44% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $4.19 | 92.51% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $4.19 | 92.43% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $4.19 | 92.57% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $4.19 | 92.60% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $4.18 | 92.41% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $4.18 | 92.40% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $4.17 | 92.60% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $4.18 | 92.59% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $4.17 | 92.59% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $4.17 | 92.49% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $4.15 | 92.52% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.17 | 92.48% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.18 | 92.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.17 | 92.47% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.17 | 92.43% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.17 | 92.51% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.5% Immortal 0.0% classified 11.4% gold 0.0% Ancient 0.2% Legendary 14.6% pink 2.5% restricted 16.9% violet 11.5% Mythical 17.5% #8847ff 5.7% mil spec 12.4% Rare 6.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.44 on average: an expected loss of $7.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt