--- title: "Operation Phoenix Weapon on Skin.club: odds & RTP" description: "Operation Phoenix Weapon ($2.83) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.27% over 12K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix rendered: 2026-11-11T21:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Operation Phoenix Weapon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Operation Phoenix Weapon A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix?window=all) Price · $2.83 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.27% · 12K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 100.53% ±16.23 1,390 openings 7 days · 92.50% ±5.71 9,256 openings 30 days · 90.27% ±4.85 12K openings since tracking started · 90.27% ±4.85 12K openings 83.5% 100.5% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix?window=24h) | 1,390 | 100.53% ±16.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix?window=7d) | 9,256 | 92.50% ±5.71 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix) | 12K | 90.27% ±4.85 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/operationphoenix?window=all) | 12K | 90.27% ±4.85 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=operationphoenix) [MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) Hidden $2.84 $0.53 0.19x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.84 $0.42 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.84 $0.43 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-field-tested) [Håll käften](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/H%C3%A5ll%20k%C3%A4ften) $2.84 $0.45 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.84 $0.96 0.34x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Nova | Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.84 $10.73 3.78x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.84 $0.96 0.34x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-corporal-minimal-wear) [Spooke](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Spooke) $2.84 $0.42 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) Hidden $2.84 $1.21 0.43x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) Hidden $2.84 $2.40 0.85x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.27 on average: an expected loss of $9.73 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt