--- title: "Piece of Luck case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Piece of Luck ($39.00) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.51% over 7,197 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck rendered: 2026-11-13T07:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Piece of Luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Piece of Luck A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck?window=all) Price · $39.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.51% · 7,197 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 605 openings · below min 7 days · 94.08% ±8.07 5,165 openings 30 days · 97.51% ±7.02 7,197 openings since tracking started · 97.51% ±7.02 7,197 openings 74.0% 98.8% 123.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck?window=24h) | 605 | 98.68% ±24.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck?window=7d) | 5,165 | 94.08% ±8.07 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck) | 7,197 | 97.51% ±7.02 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/piece-of-luck?window=all) | 7,197 | 97.51% ±7.02 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $39.17 $823 21.01x 2026-11-13 02:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $39.17 $823 21.01x 2026-11-13 02:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [GomatoX](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/GomatoX) $39.17 $823 21.01x 2026-11-13 02:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [★RST★](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%98%85RST%E2%98%85) $39.18 $823 21.00x 2026-11-12 20:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $39.31 $823 20.93x 2026-11-12 09:54 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $39.60 $823 20.78x 2026-11-12 04:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $39.43 $807 20.46x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [CatBoy69](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/CatBoy69) $39.45 $803 20.37x 2026-11-10 18:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [新竹貢丸](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E6%96%B0%E7%AB%B9%E8%B2%A2%E4%B8%B8) $39.43 $795 20.16x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [RB](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/RB) $39.38 $795 20.18x 2026-11-10 23:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=piece-of-luck) [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) Hidden $39.15 $0.64 0.02x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) [\[T1T1\] ZL3NDrGamez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%5BT1T1%5D%20ZL3NDrGamez) $39.15 $533 13.62x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) Hidden $39.15 $0.26 0.01x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) Hidden $39.15 $0.64 0.02x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) Hidden $39.15 $0.85 0.02x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) [\[T1T1\] ZL3NDrGamez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%5BT1T1%5D%20ZL3NDrGamez) $39.15 $0.85 0.02x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) Hidden $39.15 $0.64 0.02x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) Hidden $39.15 $0.26 0.01x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) Hidden $39.15 $272 6.96x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC [USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) [\[T1T1\] ZL3NDrGamez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%5BT1T1%5D%20ZL3NDrGamez) $39.15 $297 7.60x 2026-11-13 07:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $823 (21.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.51 on average: an expected loss of $2.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt