---
title: "Red Vault case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Red Vault ($12.31) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.47% from 156 items with odds, observed 91.87% over 15K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Red Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Red Vault

A case on Skin.club (Our Special), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault?window=all)

Price · $12.31

Advertised RTP · 92.47% · EV $11.38 from 156 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.87% · 15K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76.64% ±11.11 846 openings

7 days · 91.31% ±2.70 13.1K openings

30 days · 91.87% ±2.52 15K openings

since tracking started · 91.87% ±2.52 15K openings

65.0% 80.0% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault?window=24h) | 846 | 76.64% ±11.1 | −2.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault?window=7d) | 13.1K | 91.31% ±2.70 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault) | 15K | 91.87% ±2.52 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault?window=all) | 15K | 91.87% ±2.52 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 156 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $194 | 0.2% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $189 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $182 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $181 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $176 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $170 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $170 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $169 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $155 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $137 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $136 | 0.1% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $132 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $129 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $124 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $122 | 0.1% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $121 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $120 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $120 | 0.3% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $119 | 0.3% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $118 | 0.4% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $118 | 0.4% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $117 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $116 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $115 | 0.4% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $115 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $115 | 0.4% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $114 | 0.4% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $112 | 0.4% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.17× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $112 | 0.4% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $112 | 0.4% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $111 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $110 | 0.4% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $110 | 0.4% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.34× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $108 | 0.4% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $107 | 0.4% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.67× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $107 | 0.4% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.17× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $106 | 0.4% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $106 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $105 | 0.4% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $105 | 0.4% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $101 | 0.5% | 4 | 9.0 | 0.45× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $99.99 | 0.5% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $97.19 | 0.5% | 9 | 9.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $95.11 | 0.5% | 6 | 9.0 | 0.67× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $93.86 | 0.5% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $92.95 | 0.5% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $92.61 | 0.5% | 5 | 9.0 | 0.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $92.36 | 0.5% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $90.35 | 0.5% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $89.99 | 0.5% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $89.45 | 0.5% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $88.60 | 0.5% | 9 | 9.0 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $87.87 | 0.5% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $87.26 | 0.6% | 4 | 12.0 | 0.33× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $86.72 | 0.6% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $86.68 | 0.6% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $85.44 | 0.6% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $85.15 | 0.6% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.17× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $83.02 | 0.6% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $82.63 | 0.6% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $82.18 | 0.6% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $81.83 | 0.6% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $81.80 | 0.6% | 6 | 12.0 | 0.50× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $81.28 | 0.6% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $81.20 | 0.6% | 19 | 12.0 | 1.59× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $80.04 | 0.6% | 9 | 12.0 | 0.75× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $79.96 | 0.6% | 20 | 12.0 | 1.67× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $72.37 | 0.5% | 13 | 12.0 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $71.21 | 0.5% | 18 | 12.0 | 1.50× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $71.21 | 0.5% | 16 | 12.0 | 1.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $70.63 | 0.5% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.17× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $70.49 | 0.5% | 13 | 12.0 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $69.70 | 0.5% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $68.99 | 0.6% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $68.18 | 0.6% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.87× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $67.67 | 0.6% | 11 | 15.0 | 0.73× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $67.54 | 0.6% | 21 | 15.0 | 1.40× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $67.34 | 0.6% | 14 | 15.0 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $66.06 | 0.6% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $65.76 | 0.6% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $63.26 | 0.6% | 21 | 15.0 | 1.40× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $63.25 | 0.6% | 9 | 15.0 | 0.60× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.70 | 0.6% | 26 | 15.0 | 1.74× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.27 | 0.5% | 18 | 15.0 | 1.20× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $61.42 | 0.5% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $59.95 | 0.5% | 17 | 15.0 | 1.14× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $59.86 | 0.5% | 16 | 15.0 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $59.58 | 0.5% | 18 | 15.0 | 1.20× |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $58.93 | 0.5% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.87× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $55.98 | 0.5% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $55.93 | 0.5% | 12 | 16.5 | 0.73× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $55.75 | 0.5% | 9 | 16.5 | 0.55× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $55.64 | 0.5% | 22 | 16.5 | 1.34× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $55.01 | 0.5% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $54.70 | 0.5% | 23 | 16.5 | 1.40× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $54.53 | 0.5% | 24 | 16.5 | 1.46× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $54.02 | 0.5% | 17 | 16.5 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $53.58 | 0.5% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $52.94 | 0.5% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $52.27 | 0.5% | 24 | 16.5 | 1.46× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $51.59 | 0.5% | 17 | 16.5 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $51.13 | 0.5% | 19 | 16.5 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $50.46 | 0.5% | 11 | 16.5 | 0.67× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $49.81 | 0.5% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $49.75 | 0.5% | 24 | 16.5 | 1.46× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $48.91 | 0.5% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $48.81 | 0.5% | 20 | 16.5 | 1.21× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $47.16 | 0.5% | 17 | 16.5 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $46.96 | 0.5% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $46.70 | 0.5% | 11 | 16.5 | 0.67× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $46.40 | 0.4% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $45.69 | 0.4% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $44.47 | 0.4% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $44.42 | 0.4% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $44.14 | 0.4% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $43.15 | 0.4% | 11 | 16.5 | 0.67× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $43.08 | 0.4% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $43.03 | 0.4% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $42.99 | 0.4% | 19 | 16.5 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $42.14 | 0.4% | 18 | 16.5 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $41.35 | 0.4% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $38.36 | 0.4% | 21 | 16.5 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $37.92 | 0.4% | 15 | 18.0 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $37.06 | 0.4% | 19 | 16.5 | 1.15× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $36.66 | 0.4% | 13 | 18.0 | 0.72× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $36.40 | 0.4% | 13 | 18.0 | 0.72× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $36.38 | 0.4% | 22 | 18.0 | 1.22× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $36.23 | 0.4% | 22 | 18.0 | 1.22× |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $35.90 | 0.4% | 22 | 18.0 | 1.22× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $35.64 | 0.4% | 14 | 18.0 | 0.78× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $35.51 | 0.4% | 18 | 19.5 | 0.92× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $34.32 | 0.4% | 20 | 19.5 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $34.25 | 0.4% | 16 | 19.5 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 769 | $33.90 | 0.4% | 22 | 19.5 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $33.75 | 0.4% | 17 | 19.5 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $33.69 | 0.4% | 11 | 19.5 | 0.57× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $33.24 | 0.4% | 29 | 22.5 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $33.12 | 0.4% | 27 | 19.5 | 1.39× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $32.96 | 0.4% | 31 | 19.5 | 1.59× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $32.78 | 0.4% | 18 | 21.0 | 0.86× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $32.38 | 0.4% | 29 | 22.5 | 1.29× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $32.23 | 0.4% | 24 | 22.5 | 1.07× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $31.93 | 0.4% | 24 | 22.5 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $31.32 | 0.4% | 30 | 22.5 | 1.34× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $31.00 | 0.4% | 21 | 22.5 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $30.79 | 0.4% | 19 | 22.5 | 0.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $30.04 | 0.4% | 24 | 22.5 | 1.07× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $29.99 | 0.4% | 21 | 22.5 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $29.54 | 0.4% | 41 | 22.5 | 1.83× |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $28.86 | 0.4% | 42 | 22.5 | 1.87× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $27.92 | 1.0% | 19 | 59.9 | 0.32× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $26.97 | 0.9% | 50 | 59.9 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) | 18.0% | $6.46 | 10.2% | 2,668 | 2695.3 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 21.0% | $5.41 | 10.0% | 3,208 | 3144.5 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Infinite Diamond (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-infinite-diamond-holo) | 23.3% | $3.47 | 7.1% | 3,652 | 3488.9 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| Coral Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coral-skill-surf-holo) | 24.4% | $2.82 | 6.0% | 3,462 | 3653.7 | 0.95× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/red-vault`, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=red-vault)

[AWP | Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) [legendary](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/legendary) $12.31 $27.06 2.20x 2026-11-12 01:19 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) [legendary](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/legendary) $12.31 $81.28 6.60x 2026-11-12 01:19 UTC

[Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $12.32 $5.37 0.44x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $12.32 $5.37 0.44x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Infinite Diamond (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-infinite-diamond-holo) Hidden $12.32 $3.44 0.28x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Lost%20Panda) $12.32 $5.37 0.44x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Coral Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coral-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $12.32 $2.81 0.23x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Coral Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coral-skill-surf-holo) Hidden $12.32 $2.81 0.23x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) Hidden $12.32 $6.46 0.52x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Lost%20Panda) $12.32 $5.37 0.44x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $12.31 | 92.47% | 156 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $12.29 | 92.49% | 156 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $12.63 | 92.51% | 156 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $12.61 | 92.50% | 156 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $12.66 | 92.47% | 156 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $12.66 | 92.50% | 156 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $12.74 | 92.48% | 156 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $12.82 | 92.49% | 156 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $12.79 | 92.49% | 156 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $12.81 | 92.53% | 156 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $13.06 | 92.51% | 156 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $13.10 | 92.50% | 156 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $13.11 | 92.49% | 156 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $13.00 | 92.49% | 156 |
| 4 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $13.05 | 92.53% | 156 |
| 4 Nov, 04:45 UTC | $13.16 | 92.51% | 156 |
| 3 Nov, 03:49 UTC | $13.01 | 92.52% | 156 |
| 3 Nov, 02:05 UTC | $13.02 | 92.52% | 156 |
| 3 Nov, 01:40 UTC | $13.00 | 92.50% | 156 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $13.08 | 92.48% | 156 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.9% Ancient 2.8% red 2.0% rare 0.3% uncommon 0.2% Covert 0.1% exotic 18.0% #8847ff 21.0% Remarkable 23.3% remarkable 24.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.47 on average: an expected loss of $7.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt