---
title: "Scratcher case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Scratcher ($0.43) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.35% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.69% over 90.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Scratcher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Scratcher

A case on Skin.club (Sticker Capsules), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher?window=all)

Price · $0.43

Advertised RTP · 92.35% · EV $0.40 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.69% · 90.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.05% ±2.03 7,705 openings

7 days · 92.58% ±0.74 72.7K openings

30 days · 92.69% ±0.67 90.5K openings

since tracking started · 92.69% ±0.67 90.5K openings

89.5% 92.0% 94.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher?window=24h) | 7,705 | 92.05% ±2.03 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher?window=7d) | 72.7K | 92.58% ±0.74 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher) | 90.5K | 92.69% ±0.67 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/scratcher?window=all) | 90.5K | 92.69% ±0.67 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 90.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Lurker (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker-foil) | 1 in 200 | $2.84 | 3.6% | 532 | 453.0 | 1.17× |
| [Sticker \| Toxic (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toxic-foil) | 1 in 143 | $2.52 | 4.4% | 551 | 634.1 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| Global TV (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-tv-lenticular) | 1 in 167 | $2.48 | 3.7% | 559 | 543.5 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Ethereal Gaze (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ethereal-gaze-foil) | 1 in 83 | $1.77 | 5.3% | 1,044 | 1087.1 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Vortigaunt (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vortigaunt-holo) | 1 in 91 | $1.66 | 4.6% | 1,191 | 996.5 | 1.20× |
| [Sticker \| Bite Me (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bite-me-foil) | 1 in 67 | $1.02 | 3.9% | 2,385 | 1358.9 | 1.76× |
| [Sticker \| Queen Of Pain sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-queen-of-pain) | 1 in 33 | $0.69 | 5.2% | 2,858 | 2717.7 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| Gold Nova sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-nova) | 1 in 33 | $0.60 | 4.5% | 1,654 | 2717.7 | 0.61× |
| [Sticker \| Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) | 1 in 30 | $0.56 | 4.7% | 5,060 | 2989.5 | 1.69× |
| [Sticker \| Lurker sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker) | 1 in 13 | $0.48 | 9.7% | 8,604 | 7247.3 | 1.19× |
| [Sticker \| Bite Me sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bite-me) | 1 in 11 | $0.36 | 8.2% | 7,650 | 8153.2 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Silver sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silver) | 10.1% | $0.29 | 7.4% | 10,329 | 9149.7 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) | 16.0% | $0.26 | 10.5% | 12,900 | 14494.6 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Run T, Run sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-run-t-run) | 15.0% | $0.24 | 9.1% | 11,179 | 13588.6 | 0.82× |
| [Sticker \| Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) | 13.0% | $0.23 | 7.5% | 12,252 | 11776.8 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) | 14.0% | $0.22 | 7.8% | 11,843 | 12682.7 | 0.93× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/scratcher`, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=scratcher)

[Sticker | Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) Hidden $0.41 $0.54 1.32x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Run T, Run sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-run-t-run) Hidden $0.41 $0.19 0.46x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Silver sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-silver) [1478](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/1478) $0.41 $0.28 0.68x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Bite Me sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bite-me) Hidden $0.41 $0.37 0.90x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) Hidden $0.41 $0.26 0.63x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Gold Nova sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-nova) [1478](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/1478) $0.41 $0.59 1.44x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Ethereal Gaze (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ethereal-gaze-foil) Hidden $0.41 $1.77 4.32x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Good Versus Evil sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-good-versus-evil) Hidden $0.41 $0.23 0.56x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Global Elite sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite) [1478](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/1478) $0.41 $0.26 0.63x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

[Sticker | Lurker sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lurker) Hidden $0.41 $0.47 1.15x 2026-11-12 01:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.43 | 92.35% | 16 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.43 | 91.64% | 16 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.42 | 93.10% | 16 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.42 | 91.90% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.42 | 91.63% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.43 | 92.84% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.43 | 92.37% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.43 | 92.45% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.44 | 91.72% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.43 | 93.34% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.46 | 93.27% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $0.46 | 92.57% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.46 | 92.27% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $0.46 | 92.75% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.46 | 93.25% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.46 | 92.37% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.46 | 92.49% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.46 | 93.48% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.46 | 92.77% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.46 | 92.52% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.46 | 93.05% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.47 | 93.00% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.47 | 92.46% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.47 | 91.92% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.47 | 93.16% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.47 | 92.29% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.47 | 91.80% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.46 | 92.81% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.46 | 93.37% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.47 | 92.08% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 3.9% Ancient 0.6% Mythical 1.1% Rare 69.4% #4b69ff 9.0% High Grade 16.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.35 on average: an expected loss of $7.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt