---
title: "Sub Nautica case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sub Nautica ($35.67) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.92% over 906 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica
rendered: 2026-11-12T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Sub Nautica](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Sub Nautica

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica?window=all)

Price · $35.67

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.92% · 906 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 65 openings · below min

7 days · 731 openings · below min

30 days · 906 openings · below min

since tracking started · 906 openings · below min

30.0% 67.3% 104.5%

**Small sample.** 906 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica?window=24h) | 65 | 52.10% ±21.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica?window=7d) | 731 | 83.64% ±20.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica) | 906 | 83.92% ±19.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/sub-nautica?window=all) | 906 | 83.92% ±19.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [Willy Wallbang](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Willy%20Wallbang) $35.73 $1,985 55.56x 2026-11-09 12:32 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $35.81 $1,634 45.63x 2026-11-05 13:51 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $35.73 $1,106 30.96x 2026-11-08 18:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=sub-nautica)

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:31 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) [theffburgerboy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/theffburgerboy) $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:31 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:31 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:31 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) [Yui](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Yui) $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:03 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:03 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:03 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.38 $14.74 0.42x 2026-11-12 11:03 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) Hidden $35.36 $14.67 0.41x 2026-11-12 09:46 UTC

[Sticker | Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) [H.S](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/H.S) $35.36 $14.67 0.41x 2026-11-12 09:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,985 (55.56x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.92 on average: an expected loss of $16.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
