---
title: "SWAG Bastion case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SWAG Bastion ($0.35) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.94% over 30.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [SWAG Bastion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · SWAG Bastion

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion?window=all)

Price · $0.35

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.94% · 30.1K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.16% ±10.06 1,620 openings

7 days · 91.52% ±2.79 21.7K openings

30 days · 91.94% ±2.36 30.1K openings

since tracking started · 91.94% ±2.36 30.1K openings

80.5% 91.3% 102.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion?window=24h) | 1,620 | 91.16% ±10.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion?window=7d) | 21.7K | 91.52% ±2.79 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion) | 30.1K | 91.94% ±2.36 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/swag-bastion?window=all) | 30.1K | 91.94% ±2.36 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=swag-bastion)

[MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) Hidden $0.48 $0.52 1.08x 2026-11-12 15:25 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.48 $3.63 7.56x 2026-11-12 15:25 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.48 $0.14 0.29x 2026-11-12 15:25 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [Jacmuriel11](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jacmuriel11) $0.48 $0.14 0.29x 2026-11-12 15:25 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) [kEod](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kEod) $0.48 $0.14 0.29x 2026-11-12 15:17 UTC

[Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) [gametubetv0815](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/gametubetv0815) $0.48 $0.09 0.19x 2026-11-12 15:17 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.48 $1.90 3.96x 2026-11-12 15:16 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.48 $0.14 0.29x 2026-11-12 15:16 UTC

[Charm | Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) Hidden $0.48 $0.14 0.29x 2026-11-12 15:16 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-minimal-wear) [O CuRwA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/O%20CuRwA) $0.48 $1.90 3.96x 2026-11-12 15:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.94 on average: an expected loss of $8.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
