---
title: "The Safecracker case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Safecracker ($35.41) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.71% over 46.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker
rendered: 2026-11-12T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [The Safecracker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · The Safecracker

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker?window=all)

Price · $35.41

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.71% · 46.2K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.77% ±8.97 6,406 openings

7 days · 92.95% ±3.63 35.5K openings

30 days · 92.71% ±3.17 46.2K openings

since tracking started · 92.71% ±3.17 46.2K openings

84.0% 93.8% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker?window=24h) | 6,406 | 93.77% ±8.97 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker?window=7d) | 35.5K | 92.95% ±3.63 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker) | 46.2K | 92.71% ±3.17 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/the-safecracker?window=all) | 46.2K | 92.71% ±3.17 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $35.19 $3,098 88.04x 2026-11-05 09:53 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) [ismann](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ismann) $35.17 $2,971 84.47x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) [milodanovicnemanja1](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/milodanovicnemanja1) $35.18 $2,970 84.42x 2026-11-10 10:06 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.30 $2,819 79.87x 2026-11-09 16:56 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.17 $2,819 80.15x 2026-11-09 20:00 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.17 $2,804 79.72x 2026-11-07 14:10 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [黃森(皓)](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E9%BB%83%E6%A3%AE%28%E7%9A%93%29) $35.06 $2,465 70.30x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.41 $2,369 66.91x 2026-11-03 11:42 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.21 $2,356 66.92x 2026-11-11 04:51 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-factory-new) Hidden $35.10 $2,114 60.23x 2026-11-12 04:04 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=the-safecracker)

[Charm | Baby Karat T charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-t) Hidden $34.85 $11.42 0.33x 2026-11-12 13:10 UTC

[Charm | Baby Karat CT charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-ct) Hidden $34.85 $7.34 0.21x 2026-11-12 13:10 UTC

[Charm | Quick Silver charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-quick-silver) Hidden $34.85 $25.56 0.73x 2026-11-12 13:10 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Ferno charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ferno) [DrFaruq](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DrFaruq) $34.85 $13.87 0.40x 2026-11-12 13:10 UTC

[Charm | Baby Karat CT charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-ct) Hidden $34.85 $7.34 0.21x 2026-11-12 13:08 UTC

[Charm | Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) Hidden $34.85 $8.84 0.25x 2026-11-12 13:08 UTC

[Charm | Baby Karat T charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-t) Hidden $34.85 $11.42 0.33x 2026-11-12 13:08 UTC

[SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) [DrFaruq](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DrFaruq) $34.85 $46.68 1.34x 2026-11-12 13:08 UTC

[Charm | Quick Silver charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-quick-silver) Hidden $34.85 $25.69 0.74x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC

[Charm | Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) Hidden $34.85 $8.84 0.25x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $3,098 (88.04x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.71 on average: an expected loss of $7.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
