--- title: "This is a Major! case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "This is a Major! ($49.09) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.45% over 2,468 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major rendered: 2026-11-12T09:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [This is a Major!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · This is a Major! A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major?window=all) Price · $49.09 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.45% · 2,468 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 219 openings · below min 7 days · 86.53% ±5.35 1,817 openings 30 days · 88.45% ±4.80 2,468 openings since tracking started · 88.45% ±4.80 2,468 openings 77.0% 90.3% 103.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major?window=24h) | 219 | 90.23% ±12.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major?window=7d) | 1,817 | 86.53% ±5.35 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major) | 2,468 | 88.45% ±4.80 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/this-is-a-major?window=all) | 2,468 | 88.45% ±4.80 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) [Onetap v2](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Onetap%20v2) $49.09 $1,288 26.23x 2026-11-03 16:32 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) Hidden $47.69 $1,208 25.33x 2026-11-06 21:56 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) Hidden $48.00 $1,133 23.60x 2026-11-05 20:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=this-is-a-major) [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $46.28 $33.26 0.72x 2026-11-12 09:03 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $46.28 $13.50 0.29x 2026-11-12 09:03 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.28 $50.53 1.09x 2026-11-12 09:03 UTC [AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) [dorepari\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/dorepari%60) $46.28 $34.10 0.74x 2026-11-12 09:03 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $46.31 $33.66 0.73x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) Hidden $46.31 $9.02 0.19x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $46.31 $53.75 1.16x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) [soup](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/soup) $46.31 $9.02 0.19x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $46.31 $247 5.34x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $46.31 $33.66 0.73x 2026-11-12 07:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,288 (26.23x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.45 on average: an expected loss of $11.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt