--- title: "Hail Mary case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hail Mary ($1.75) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [Hail Mary](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · Hail Mary A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15?window=all) Price · $1.75 · 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15?window=7d) | 7,888 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15) | 10.2K | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/15?window=all) | 10.2K | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [BeastMan\_DK](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/BeastMan_DK) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $794 794 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 453.7x 2026-11-06 10:18 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [\_poet](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/_poet) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-09 19:54 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [EliteAGT](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/EliteAGT) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-09 16:53 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [kapusta](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/kapusta) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [kapusta](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/kapusta) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-07 22:32 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [3zzyStach](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/3zzyStach) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-07 16:58 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [bralis athods](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/bralis%20athods) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-06 20:35 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [WieNN \[CSWIN\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/WieNN%20%5BCSWIN%5D) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-06 16:10 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [MR Born to Lose](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/MR%20Born%20to%20Lose) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-06 10:54 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [ICANWUFFYOU\_SK](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/ICANWUFFYOU_SK) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $515 515 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 294.5x 2026-11-05 05:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=15) [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [Pūks](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/P%C5%ABks) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:57 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:57 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:56 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:56 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:56 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:55 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:55 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:55 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [brachka22](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/brachka22) $1.75 1.75 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.02 0.02 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:55 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt