--- title: "SMario case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SMario ($166.45) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520 rendered: 2026-11-11T21:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [SMario](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · SMario A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520?window=all) Price · $166.45 · 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520?window=7d) | 50 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520) | 60 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1520?window=all) | 60 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,565 1,565 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 9.40x 2026-11-09 21:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,005 1,005 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 6.04x 2026-11-09 13:21 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [Krišjānis](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Kri%C5%A1j%C4%81nis) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,005 1,005 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 6.04x 2026-11-08 08:20 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Chavlin%20Exer) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,005 1,005 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 6.04x 2026-11-04 08:37 UTC [SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) [Fizzy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Fizzy) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $871 871 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 5.23x 2026-11-09 15:54 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-well-worn-2) [Thai Ming](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Thai%20Ming) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $765 765 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 4.59x 2026-11-04 22:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-well-worn-2) [☾☆ ✿HeC✿ ζ͜͡☾★](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%E2%98%BE%E2%98%86%20%E2%9C%BFHeC%E2%9C%BF%20%CE%B6%CD%9C%CD%A1%E2%98%BE%E2%98%85) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $765 765 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 4.59x 2026-11-03 11:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=1520) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $104 104 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.63x 2026-11-09 22:59 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:36 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:18 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 21:55 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,565 1,565 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 9.40x 2026-11-09 21:40 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 21:37 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 21:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Good](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Good) $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1.22 1.22 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:43 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt