--- title: "5% M4 🤑 case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% M4 🤑 ($1.00) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [5% M4 🤑](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · 5% M4 🤑 A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959?window=all) Price · $1.00 · 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959?window=7d) | 1,550 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959) | 2,160 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/155959?window=all) | 2,160 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) [No pulls](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/No%20pulls) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $254 254 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 253.7x 2026-11-06 20:10 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) [Tom #Solomon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%20%23Solomon) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $158 158 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 158.3x 2026-11-09 19:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) [OhioHeyo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/OhioHeyo) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $62.24 62.24 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 62.24x 2026-11-09 18:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) [I.Legija](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/I.Legija) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $62.24 62.24 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 62.24x 2026-11-06 16:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) [JeffPeppstein](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/JeffPeppstein) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $62.24 62.24 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 62.24x 2026-11-05 21:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) [mike](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/mike) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $62.24 62.24 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 62.24x 2026-11-04 19:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=155959) [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [green](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/green) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:04 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [green](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/green) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:04 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [green](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/green) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:04 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [green](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/green) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 08:04 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [DiiDee](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/DiiDee) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:15 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:56 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:56 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:50 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:50 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $1.00 1 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:38 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt