---
title: "Lucky Burn case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Lucky Burn ($706.06) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [Lucky Burn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816)

# [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · Lucky Burn

A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816?window=all)

Price · $706.06 · 706 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · advertised only

**SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816) | 5 | top-only feed | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/16816?window=all) | 5 | top-only feed | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear - Emerald) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald-2) [HTG erd](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/HTG%20erd) $706 706 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $2,000 2,000 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 2.83x 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) [HTG erd](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/HTG%20erd) $706 706 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,005 1,005 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 1.42x 2026-11-03 22:42 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-factory-new) [HTG erd](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/HTG%20erd) $706 706 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $550 550 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.78x 2026-11-03 22:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=16816)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

Not summed for a top-only feed

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt