--- title: "M4 or nah case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "M4 or nah ($3.93) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995 rendered: 2026-11-12T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [M4 or nah](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · M4 or nah A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995?window=all) Price · $3.93 · 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995?window=7d) | 441 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995) | 645 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/27995?window=all) | 645 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) [nilksy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/nilksy) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,371 1,371 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 348.9x 2026-11-08 20:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=27995) [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:30 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [καμία διέξοδος](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%BC%CE%AF%CE%B1%20%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%AD%CE%BE%CE%BF%CE%B4%CE%BF%CF%82) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:26 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:20 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [Napoleon Ratparte](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Napoleon%20Ratparte) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:12 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [BAM BAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/BAM%20BAM) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 04:51 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [BAM BAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/BAM%20BAM) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 04:49 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [garaam](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/garaam) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:59 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [garaam](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/garaam) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:57 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [garaam](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/garaam) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [garaam](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/garaam) $3.93 3.93 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-10 01:54 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt