--- title: "2.4% UMP case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "2.4% UMP ($2.00) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [2.4% UMP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · 2.4% UMP A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206?window=all) Price · $2.00 · 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206?window=7d) | 165 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206) | 241 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/336206?window=all) | 241 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) [Tomiņš](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tomi%C5%86%C5%A1) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $166 166 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 82.82x 2026-11-03 10:04 UTC [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Archh420.](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Archh420.) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $131 131 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 65.31x 2026-11-06 23:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=336206) [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [SaltySwan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/SaltySwan) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [Scooby Doo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Scooby%20Doo) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [SaltySwan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/SaltySwan) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:13 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [Scooby Doo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Scooby%20Doo) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:13 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [SaltySwan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/SaltySwan) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:06 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [Scooby Doo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Scooby%20Doo) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-10 03:06 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [.d0mel](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/.d0mel) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:04 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [.d0mel](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/.d0mel) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [.d0mel](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/.d0mel) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) [down syndrome is key to victory\[SRIOU\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/down%20syndrome%20is%20key%20to%20victory%5BSRIOU%5D) $2.00 2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.02x 2026-11-09 18:33 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt