--- title: "5% M4 Spin to Win case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% M4 Spin to Win ($1.01) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [5% M4 Spin to Win](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · 5% M4 Spin to Win A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662?window=all) Price · $1.01 · 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662?window=7d) | 110 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662) | 194 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/561662?window=all) | 194 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) [g3ntchi\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/g3ntchi_) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $65.14 65.14 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 64.50x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) [Kornel szostak](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Kornel%20szostak) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $65.14 65.14 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 64.50x 2026-11-05 22:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=561662) [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [OhioHeyo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/OhioHeyo) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 18:05 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [🍧Tobis🍧](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%F0%9F%8D%A7Tobis%F0%9F%8D%A7) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 14:28 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [♤\_𝕯𝖊𝕯𝖊\_♤](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%E2%99%A4_%F0%9D%95%AF%F0%9D%96%8A%F0%9D%95%AF%F0%9D%96%8A_%E2%99%A4) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 14:28 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 05:49 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 05:49 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 05:46 UTC [M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-field-tested) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $5.00 5 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 4.95x 2026-11-09 05:46 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 05:43 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $13.82 13.82 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 13.68x 2026-11-09 05:43 UTC [M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [GaURaVxObey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/GaURaVxObey) $1.01 1.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.04 0.04 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.04x 2026-11-09 05:40 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt