--- title: "M4A1 Party case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops" description: "M4A1 Party ($2.84) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375 rendered: 2026-11-13T05:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [M4A1 Party](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · M4A1 Party A case on SkinRave, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375?window=all) Price · $2.84 · 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375?window=7d) | 3,958 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375) | 6,871 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/613375?window=all) | 6,871 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) [Méno](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/M%C3%A9no) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $759 759 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 267.3x 2026-11-06 17:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) [Ayyylmaoo710](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Ayyylmaoo710) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $759 759 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 267.3x 2026-11-04 20:48 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [L](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/L) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $715 715 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 251.9x 2026-11-07 17:55 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) [WieNN \[CSWIN\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/WieNN%20%5BCSWIN%5D) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $715 715 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 251.9x 2026-11-03 20:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [Jean-Claude van Dammriss](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Jean-Claude%20van%20Dammriss) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $188 188 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 66.33x 2026-11-09 23:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) [Pornelius Hubert III](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Pornelius%20Hubert%20III) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $188 188 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 66.33x 2026-11-03 23:36 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) [10+ vodnik every day](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/10%2B%20vodnik%20every%20day) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $149 149 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 52.53x 2026-11-08 11:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) [SatoruGojo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/SatoruGojo) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $149 149 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 52.53x 2026-11-07 13:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=613375) [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [Ct Sun \[BCX\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Ct%20Sun%20%5BBCX%5D) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:49 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [Stargazing](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Stargazing) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:48 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [καμία διέξοδος](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%BC%CE%AF%CE%B1%20%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%AD%CE%BE%CE%BF%CE%B4%CE%BF%CF%82) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:48 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [Error](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Error) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:48 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [ai](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/ai) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:46 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [καμία διέξοδος](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%BC%CE%AF%CE%B1%20%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%AD%CE%BE%CE%BF%CE%B4%CE%BF%CF%82) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:46 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [Error](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Error) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:46 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [καμία διέξοδος](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%CE%BA%CE%B1%CE%BC%CE%AF%CE%B1%20%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%AD%CE%BE%CE%BF%CE%B4%CE%BF%CF%82) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:46 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [zFaem](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/zFaem) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:42 UTC [Sticker | Hello M4A1-S sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-m4a1-s) [Jensen](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Jensen) $2.84 2.84 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.64 0.64 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:41 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt