--- title: "Nelly 10% Knife case on SkinRave: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nelly 10% Knife ($9.65) on SkinRave, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) / [Nelly 10% Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922) # [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) · Nelly 10% Knife A case on SkinRave, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is SkinRave's own item price converted from skinrave token at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922?window=all) Price · $9.65 · 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **SkinRave publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922?window=7d) | 16 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922) | 16 | top-only feed | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/624922?window=all) | 16 | top-only feed | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** SkinRave publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are SkinRave's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [rocky\_nocap](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/rocky_nocap) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,081 1,081 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 112.1x 2026-11-10 02:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinrave&case=624922) [★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) [rocky\_nocap](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/rocky_nocap) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $1,081 1,081 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 112.1x 2026-11-10 02:35 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [☁ alinox](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%E2%98%81%20alinox) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-09 15:59 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [MrkLv](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/MrkLv) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-06 21:15 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [WITCHER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/WITCHER) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [WITCHER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/WITCHER) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [WITCHER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/WITCHER) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 19:25 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [°Embrace the PAIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%C2%B0Embrace%20the%20PAIN) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 14:51 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [°Embrace the PAIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%C2%B0Embrace%20the%20PAIN) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 14:51 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [°Embrace the PAIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%C2%B0Embrace%20the%20PAIN) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 14:50 UTC [Angry T | Vanilla other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angry-t-vanilla) [°Embrace the PAIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%C2%B0Embrace%20the%20PAIN) $9.65 9.65 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $0.01 0.01 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 0.00x 2026-11-05 14:50 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt