---
title: "★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 1,037 drops on 18 sites in 7 days, worth $294 to $651. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T14:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new)

# ★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)

knife, covert · Bayonet · Marble Fade · Factory New. Market name: ★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 1,037 · on 18 sites

Average value · $397 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $294

Highest · $651

In cases · 50 · with published odds

Price spread · 117% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 534 | $417 | $385 | $432 | 14h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 108 | $430 | $390 | $438 | 14h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 87 | $305 | $300 | $308 | 14h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 78 | $326 | $319 | $331 | 14h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 68 | $369 | $369 | $369 | 14h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 51 | $330 | $323 | $336 | 14h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 31 | $382 | $358 | $395 | 1d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 26 | $394 | $352 | $434 | 14h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 17 | $517 | $517 | $517 | 1d |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 12 | $572 | $572 | $572 | 1d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 9 | $404 | $404 | $404 | 3d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 4 | $369 | $364 | $375 | 1d |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 4 | $651 | $651 | $651 | 7d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 3 | $468 | $468 | $468 | 3d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 2 | $300 | $294 | $305 | 3d |
| [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 1 | $600 | $600 | $600 | 5d |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 1 | $320 | $320 | $320 | 4d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $428 | $428 | $428 | 6d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FLAME](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/flame) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $200 | 1 in 12 | $425 | 2.1× |
| [Knives Only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1034) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $371 | 1 in 13 | $595 | 1.6× |
| [Professional](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/professional) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $353 | 1 in 20 | $300 | 0.9× |
| [EL BOBRITO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/el-bobrito-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $70.76 | 1 in 20 | $430 | 6.1× |
| [Rainbow Roads](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $98.84 | 1 in 25 | $372 | 3.8× |
| [DAVID](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/david) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $390 | 1 in 25 | $425 | 1.1× |
| [DUEL JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/duel-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $118 | 1 in 27 | $429 | 3.6× |
| [ELAINE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/elaine) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $200 | 1 in 28 | $425 | 2.1× |
| [Rainbow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/353) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $171 | 1 in 33 | $404 | 2.4× |
| [PREMIUM KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $375 | 1 in 33 | $425 | 1.1× |
| [Auror's Archive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/181) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $740 | 1 in 33 | $822 | 1.1× |
| [BABUSHKA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $313 | 1 in 42 | $429 | 1.4× |
| [VICE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/vice) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $237 | 1 in 43 | $425 | 1.8× |
| [KNIFE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/knife-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $459 | 1 in 45 | $429 | 0.9× |
| [BABUSHKA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $153 | 1 in 46 | $429 | 2.8× |
| [Dr. Gamma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/78) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $299 | 1 in 50 | $369 | 1.2× |
| [Eternal Prism](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953278) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $200 | 1 in 79 | $371 | 1.9× |
| [Luxury Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/50) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $250 | 1 in 82 | $384 | 1.5× |
| [Factory new](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $1,416 | 1 in 82 | $375 | 0.3× |
| [Module](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/module) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $85.92 | 1 in 83 | $517 | 6.0× |
| [CS2 knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs2knife) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $339 | 1 in 88 | $313 | 0.9× |
| [Nozhcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/nozhcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $196 | 1 in 93 | $331 | 1.7× |
| [Birb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10060) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $78.44 | 1 in 100 | $606 | 7.7× |
| [Doner Delight](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635198) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $100 | 1 in 104 | $448 | 4.5× |
| [Shiny Marble](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shiny-marble) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $27.76 | 1 in 200 | $395 | 14.2× |
| [VICE-LOVER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/vice-lover) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $300 | 1 in 213 | $360 | 1.2× |
| [KNIFE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/knife) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $180 | 1 in 225 | $429 | 2.4× |
| [Battle Scarred](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/battle-scarred) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $169 | 1 in 257 | $375 | 2.2× |
| [Pinpoint](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pinpoint) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $62.51 | 1 in 267 | $300 | 4.8× |
| [Freestyle frost](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968186) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $75.00 | 1 in 300 | $808 | 10.8× |
| [Crimson Crypt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635606) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $45.00 | 1 in 352 | $434 | 9.6× |
| [Water stone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/325) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $75.00 | 1 in 357 | $433 | 5.8× |
| [Chase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/210) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $50.00 | 1 in 369 | $357 | 7.1× |
| [Prudent 30%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prudent-30) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $26.60 | 1 in 400 | $517 | 19.5× |
| [Amar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $50.00 | 1 in 415 | $352 | 7.0× |
| [Daydream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daydream) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $9.32 | 1 in 500 | $300 | 32.2× |
| [Shiny Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $250 | 1 in 532 | $428 | 1.7× |
| [Нож](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rare) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $219 | 1 in 548 | $313 | 1.4× |
| [ENDLESS JOURNEY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/endless-journey) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $89.50 | 1 in 714 | $425 | 4.7× |
| [Abandoned Ivy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635253) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.00 | 1 in 752 | $417 | 10.4× |
| [Wicked Clown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/930266) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.00 | 1 in 813 | $813 | 20.3× |
| [1% Jackpot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1019) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $29.50 | 1 in 909 | $650 | 22.0× |
| [KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/256) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $195 | 1 in 1,000 | $439 | 2.2× |
| [Gradientcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gradientcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.37 | 1 in 1,276 | $331 | 13.6× |
| [Easter Pop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1352053) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.00 | 1 in 1,370 | $855 | 21.4× |
| [Lavish](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lavish) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $3.89 | 1 in 1,429 | $517 | 133.2× |
| [Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/rare) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $180 | 1 in 2,128 | $428 | 2.4× |
| [Fatek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/883201) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $12.50 | 1 in 2,381 | $375 | 30.0× |
| [Abyssal Crown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544192) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $34.00 | 1 in 3,030 | $1,011 | 29.7× |
| [Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $70.09 | 1 in 3,333 | $319 | 4.6× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [15% money back 5% knife hunting $58.97](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/896) battle Hidden $58.97 92.88 HUNT\_COIN $651 1,025 HUNT\_COIN 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:46 UTC

[Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [15% money back 5% knife hunting $58.97](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/896) battle Hidden $58.97 92.88 HUNT\_COIN $651 1,025 HUNT\_COIN 11.04x 2026-11-05 20:37 UTC

[Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [15% money back 5% knife hunting $58.97](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/896) battle [CHUD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/CHUD) $58.97 92.88 HUNT\_COIN $651 1,025 HUNT\_COIN 11.04x 2026-11-04 20:57 UTC

[Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [1% Marble $4.76](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/70) battle Hidden $4.76 7.5 HUNT\_COIN $651 1,025 HUNT\_COIN 136.7x 2026-11-04 05:13 UTC

[500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [9% Knife ! Battle Case $18.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/665cbabc5a0dabda3e2818c0) battle [derbastiii1](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/derbastiii1) $18.22 30,348 BUX $600 998,866 BUX 32.91x 2026-11-07 09:43 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Compbros $10.14](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compbros) battle Hidden $10.14 14.48 coins $572 817 coins 56.41x 2026-11-11 20:59 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Compbros $10.14](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compbros) battle Hidden $10.14 14.48 coins $572 817 coins 56.41x 2026-11-09 20:00 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Compbros $10.14](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compbros) battle [zkarma.537](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/zkarma.537) $10.14 14.48 coins $572 817 coins 56.41x 2026-11-09 16:19 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Compbros $10.14](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compbros) battle Hidden $10.14 14.48 coins $572 817 coins 56.41x 2026-11-08 19:33 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Compbros $10.14](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/compbros) battle Hidden $10.14 14.48 coins $572 817 coins 56.41x 2026-11-08 09:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Daydream $9.32](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daydream) battle Hidden $9.32 13.31 coins $300 429 coins 32.23x 2026-11-12 14:07 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [PREMIUM KNIVES $375](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives) battle Hidden $375 $425 1.13x 2026-11-12 13:57 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Daydream $9.32](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daydream) battle Hidden $9.32 13.31 coins $300 429 coins 32.23x 2026-11-12 13:24 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Daydream $9.32](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daydream) battle Hidden $9.32 13.31 coins $300 429 coins 32.23x 2026-11-12 13:03 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Daydream $9.32](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/daydream) battle Hidden $9.32 13.31 coins $300 429 coins 32.23x 2026-11-12 12:36 UTC

[FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Covertknives $115](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives) [jelo](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/jelo) $115 $323 2.81x 2026-11-12 12:32 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Dr. Gamma $299](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/78) [miniliQuid](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/miniliQuid) $299 299 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $369 369 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.23x 2026-11-12 12:28 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Dr. Gamma $299](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/78) [Gangsta](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Gangsta) $299 299 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $369 369 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.23x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gungnir $500](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-gungnir) [Double Tap](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Double%20Tap) $500 $323 0.65x 2026-11-12 11:49 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Dr. Gamma $299](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/78) [СметанаСахарокUWU](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%D0%A1%D0%BC%D0%B5%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%A1%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BAUWU) $299 299 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $369 369 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 1.23x 2026-11-12 11:47 UTC

covert · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt