---
title: "M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 6,510 drops on 18 sites in 7 days, worth $8.00 to $107. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T14:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new)

# M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)

weapon, pink · M4A1-S · Black Lotus · Factory New. Market name: M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 6,510 · on 18 sites

Average value · $17.01 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $8.00

Highest · $107

In cases · 49 · with published odds

Price spread · 923% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 2,316 | $11.53 | $11.34 | $11.90 | 14h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 1,541 | $22.36 | $8.00 | $70.82 | 14h |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 709 | $13.87 | $13.21 | $14.73 | 14h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 507 | $12.25 | $12.25 | $12.25 | 14h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 448 | $11.47 | $11.36 | $11.55 | 14h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 219 | $13.05 | $12.94 | $13.73 | 14h |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 201 | $12.60 | $12.37 | $12.90 | 14h |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 191 | $62.03 | $62.03 | $62.03 | 14h |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 167 | $24.76 | $20.91 | $26.02 | 14h |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 79 | $11.46 | $11.37 | $12.10 | 14h |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 43 | $30.33 | $30.33 | $30.33 | 14h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 38 | $107 | $107 | $107 | 3d |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 25 | $10.42 | $10.37 | $10.44 | 1d |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 17 | $19.26 | $19.26 | $19.26 | 3d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 3 | $14.45 | $13.98 | $14.69 | 14h |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 2 | $30.54 | $30.54 | $30.54 | 2d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 2 | $29.20 | $29.20 | $29.20 | 6d |
| [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | 2 | $12.49 | $12.45 | $12.52 | 3d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Frozen Gem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/frozen-gem) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $36.67 | 30.0% | $8.00 | 0.2× |
| [Suppressed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressed) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $240 | 15.0% | $22.77 | 0.1× |
| [SERPENT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $59.95 | 13.1% | $13.62 | 0.2× |
| [Taste of Purple](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/271) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $2,580 | 12.5% | $19.26 | 0.0× |
| [Lunar Wolf Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lunar-wolf-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $36.90 | 10.0% | $13.58 | 0.4× |
| [Melatonin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/melatonin) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $58.32 | 10.0% | $12.41 | 0.2× |
| [E-Boy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/e-boy) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $23.78 | 1 in 13 | $17.78 | 0.7× |
| [Gradient](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gradient) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $21.82 | 1 in 14 | $11.37 | 0.5× |
| [Vitality ewc](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vitality-ewc) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $11.32 | 1 in 14 | $11.37 | 1.0× |
| [Evaelfie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evaelfie) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $22.37 | 1 in 16 | $11.37 | 0.5× |
| [Death Wish](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/death-wish) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $28.65 | 1 in 20 | $70.82 | 2.5× |
| [Titan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/133) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $22.00 | 1 in 20 | $12.25 | 0.6× |
| [Shadowkek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/shadowkek) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $8.49 | 1 in 24 | $11.37 | 1.3× |
| [Rambo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $11.79 | 1 in 26 | $12.46 | 1.1× |
| [Kil-A-What](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kil-a-what) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $23.68 | 1 in 29 | $70.82 | 3.0× |
| [MEGAKNIGHT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/megaknight) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $23.40 | 1 in 33 | $12.89 | 0.6× |
| [STRATY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/straty) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $10.00 | 1 in 45 | $13.62 | 1.4× |
| [FBBTV JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/fbbtv-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $47.09 | 1 in 50 | $13.62 | 0.3× |
| [RYNO 1337 BATTLE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/1177) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $3.16 | 1 in 56 | $19.26 | 6.1× |
| [EDGE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/edge) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $37.50 | 1 in 56 | $13.62 | 0.4× |
| [Kilowatt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kilowatt) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $3.99 | 1 in 64 | $11.37 | 2.8× |
| [Zasecrcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/zasecrcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $4.38 | 1 in 84 | $11.37 | 2.6× |
| [Kilowatt Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/kilowatt-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $2.28 | 1 in 94 | $14.42 | 6.3× |
| [HLTV V1 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v1-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $19.41 | 1 in 95 | $13.62 | 0.7× |
| [GOLDERRA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/golderra-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $299 | 1 in 100 | $13.62 | 0.0× |
| [STRATY JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/straty-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $145 | 1 in 110 | $14.21 | 0.1× |
| [Lightning](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lightning) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $8.22 | 1 in 111 | $62.03 | 7.5× |
| [CHAIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/chain) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $115 | 1 in 116 | $13.62 | 0.1× |
| [FBBTV](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/fbbtv) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $6.50 | 1 in 125 | $13.62 | 2.1× |
| [SHADOW DAGGERS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/shadow-daggers-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $100 | 1 in 125 | $13.57 | 0.1× |
| [CHINATOWN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/chinatown) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $97.50 | 1 in 141 | $13.62 | 0.1× |
| [GOLDERRA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/golderra) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $26.00 | 1 in 145 | $13.62 | 0.5× |
| [CHINATOWN JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/chinatown-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $906 | 1 in 145 | $13.62 | 0.0× |
| [GOLD NOVA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $131 | 1 in 160 | $14.21 | 0.1× |
| [SHADOW DAGGERS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/shadow-daggers) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $62.50 | 1 in 169 | $13.62 | 0.2× |
| [COIL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/coil) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $14.25 | 1 in 206 | $13.62 | 1.0× |
| [RAIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/rain) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $69.42 | 1 in 222 | $13.62 | 0.2× |
| [GOLD NOVA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/gold-nova) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $26.00 | 1 in 244 | $13.62 | 0.5× |
| [Hyper Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hyper-beast) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $8.00 | 1 in 719 | $15.01 | 1.9× |
| [Kilowatt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568433) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $2.20 | 1 in 794 | $13.73 | 6.2× |
| [CLASSIFIED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/classified) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $6.00 | 1 in 962 | $13.62 | 2.3× |
| [Jungle Strike Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/455) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $4.53 | 1 in 1,000 | $29.20 | 6.4× |
| [HLTV V1](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hltv-v1) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $3.00 | 1 in 1,429 | $13.62 | 4.5× |
| [Kanyewest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/kanyewest) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $1.01 | 1 in 2,193 | $11.37 | 11.3× |
| [Clucking](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clucking) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $2.00 | 1 in 3,448 | $15.01 | 7.5× |
| [Diesel fuel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/diesel-fuel) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.46 | 1 in 13,158 | $11.37 | 24.7× |
| [Ruby Tempest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ruby-tempest) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $0.60 | 1 in 14,286 | $15.01 | 25.0× |
| [Fatal Vision](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635256) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $0.45 | 1 in 20,000 | $12.94 | 28.8× |
| [Snackbar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/snackbar) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.29 | 1 in 41,667 | $11.37 | 39.2× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis Reverse 1% $1.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/397717) battle [Goku](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Goku) $1.98 1.98 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 53.84x 2026-11-09 05:15 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis Reverse 1% $1.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/397717) battle [⚡LT \*MOZ\* LT⚡](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%E2%9A%A1LT%20*MOZ*%20LT%E2%9A%A1-203421) $1.98 1.98 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 53.84x 2026-11-09 00:51 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis Reverse 1% $1.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/397717) battle [⚡LT \*MOZ\* LT⚡](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/%E2%9A%A1LT%20*MOZ*%20LT%E2%9A%A1-203421) $1.98 1.98 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 53.84x 2026-11-08 21:35 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis $0.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1463) battle [Kyouma #Solomon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Kyouma%20%23Solomon) $0.99 0.99 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 107.7x 2026-11-08 02:09 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis $0.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1463) battle [Hypiņš 最好的](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Hypi%C5%86%C5%A1%20%E6%9C%80%E5%A5%BD%E7%9A%84) $0.99 0.99 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 107.7x 2026-11-06 18:48 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis $0.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1463) battle [Tequila \[BCX\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tequila%20%5BBCX%5D) $0.99 0.99 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 107.7x 2026-11-05 18:26 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Bepis Reverse 1% $1.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/397717) battle [Domas](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Domas) $1.98 1.98 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $107 107 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 53.84x 2026-11-04 20:13 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Rain Raker V3 $1.31](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-raker-v3) battle Hidden $1.31 2.01 gems $70.82 109 gems 54.20x 2026-11-09 00:24 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Rain Raker V3 $1.31](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-raker-v3) battle Hidden $1.31 2.01 gems $70.82 109 gems 54.20x 2026-11-09 00:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new&window=all)

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Titan $22.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/133) battle [DOVERッ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/DOVER%E3%83%83) $22.00 22 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $12.25 12.25 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.56x 2026-11-12 14:17 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:11 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) battle Hidden $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:08 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) battle [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:08 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) battle Hidden $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:08 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) battle Hidden $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:08 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) battle Hidden $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:08 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [5 percent explo $0.54](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5-percent-explo) battle Hidden $0.54 0.83 gems $22.77 35.03 gems 42.20x 2026-11-12 14:08 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [SERPENT $59.95](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) battle Hidden $59.95 $13.62 0.23x 2026-11-12 14:06 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [Kilowatt $1.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/kilowatt) battle [R.T2k](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/R.T2k) $1.59 $11.60 7.30x 2026-11-12 14:03 UTC

pink · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt