---
title: "M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New): case drops, odds & site prices"
description: "M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 5,836 drops on 18 sites in 7 days, worth $93.83 to $913. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new)

# M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)

weapon, epic · M4A1-S · Fade · Factory New. Market name: M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 5,836 · on 18 sites

Average value · $187 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $93.83

Highest · $913

In cases · 43 · with published odds

Price spread · 475% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 3,929 | $175 | $170 | $215 | 7h |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 1,152 | $214 | $204 | $224 | 7h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 199 | $159 | $157 | $160 | 7h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 154 | $227 | $162 | $311 | 7h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 130 | $174 | $173 | $176 | 7h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 57 | $218 | $206 | $227 | 7h |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 57 | $286 | $93.83 | $383 | 1d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 43 | $205 | $190 | $206 | 1d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 33 | $187 | $187 | $187 | 1d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 28 | $162 | $149 | $177 | 2d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 21 | $177 | $172 | $182 | 2d |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 18 | $430 | $393 | $503 | 1d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 5 | $307 | $205 | $705 | 3d |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 4 | $459 | $459 | $459 | 1d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 3 | $913 | $913 | $913 | 5d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $541 | $541 | $541 | 9d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 1 | $199 | $199 | $199 | 4d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $229 | $229 | $229 | 8d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Agi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/agi) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $415 | 1 in 12 | $172 | 0.4× |
| [EXTRA JUICY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/extra-juicy) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $250 | 1 in 17 | $210 | 0.8× |
| [DMG JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dmg-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $548 | 1 in 19 | $222 | 0.4× |
| [Violet Voltage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/violet-voltage) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $118 | 1 in 20 | $162 | 1.4× |
| [Neon Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/397) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $50.07 | 1 in 20 | $311 | 6.2× |
| [DAVID](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/david) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $390 | 1 in 20 | $210 | 0.5× |
| [FRANIO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $218 | 1 in 24 | $219 | 1.0× |
| [SILK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/silk) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $295 | 1 in 25 | $210 | 0.7× |
| [VICE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/vice) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $237 | 1 in 25 | $210 | 0.9× |
| [Freecase 10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase10) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $240 | 1 in 28 | $172 | 0.7× |
| [LUNA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/luna) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $110 | 1 in 40 | $210 | 1.9× |
| [Millionaire's Club](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $122 | 1 in 50 | $192 | 1.6× |
| [Carbine Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/carbine-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $53.63 | 1 in 50 | $183 | 3.4× |
| [Shadow Optics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635150) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $150 | 1 in 68 | $190 | 1.3× |
| [Gta 6](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gta6) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $69.99 | 1 in 75 | $172 | 2.5× |
| [Armory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $30.10 | 1 in 80 | $311 | 10.3× |
| [Graveyard Hours](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graveyard-hours) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $15.07 | 1 in 167 | $282 | 18.7× |
| [DMG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dmg) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $50.00 | 1 in 167 | $222 | 4.4× |
| [Fade Battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $24.36 | 1 in 185 | $171 | 7.0× |
| [August](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/august) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $15.10 | 1 in 200 | $157 | 10.4× |
| [10% M4A](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-m4a) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $19.66 | 1 in 200 | $298 | 15.2× |
| [The Bookworm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/118) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $110 | 1 in 200 | $187 | 1.7× |
| [Gradientcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gradientcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.37 | 1 in 230 | $172 | 7.1× |
| [Orochi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/orochi) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $31.43 | 1 in 305 | $172 | 5.5× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/258) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $100 | 1 in 1,000 | $205 | 2.0× |
| [Budapest Major 2025](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/499) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $25.00 | 1 in 1,000 | $550 | 22.0× |
| [Zlashy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $5.00 | 1 in 1,000 | $215 | 43.0× |
| [Secret Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/502) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 1,250 | $705 | 35.2× |
| [My one and only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/my-one-and-only) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $23.70 | 1 in 2,000 | $157 | 6.6× |
| [FRANIO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/franio) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $15.00 | 1 in 3,333 | $213 | 14.2× |
| [Triple Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/triple-fade) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $2.49 | 1 in 3,333 | $171 | 68.6× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/covert) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $25.00 | 1 in 3,448 | $210 | 8.4× |
| [MARBLED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/marbled) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $20.00 | 1 in 5,000 | $210 | 10.5× |
| [Sport & Field](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568733) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $3.30 | 1 in 5,882 | $206 | 62.3× |
| [M4A1-S](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/m4a1s) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $9.65 | 1 in 8,333 | $195 | 20.3× |
| [Hype Beat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1584140) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $8.00 | 1 in 9,091 | $689 | 86.2× |
| [Covert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/covert) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $6.24 | 1 in 10,000 | $171 | 27.4× |
| [GRADIENT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/gradient) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $3.10 | 1 in 10,000 | $210 | 67.7× |
| [M4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/m4) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $3.82 | 1 in 16,667 | $210 | 55.0× |
| [Giftblast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/giftblast) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $5.98 | 1 in 17,544 | $172 | 28.8× |
| [Sportfield](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/sportfield) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $5.49 | 1 in 62,500 | $172 | 31.4× |
| [Sport & Field Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/sport-and-field-collection) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $3.50 | 1 in 100,000 | $225 | 64.2× |
| [Jujutsukaisen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jujutsukaisen) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.01 | 1 in 250,000 | $172 | 85.7× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [G2 HeavyGod $9.90](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1189) battle [Tom #Solomon](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%20%23Solomon) $9.90 9.9 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $913 913 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 92.24x 2026-11-07 21:26 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Red M4 5% $4.70](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/88705) battle [fieraseeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/fieraseeek) $4.70 4.7 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $913 913 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 194.3x 2026-11-06 22:26 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Faded Treasures $158](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/1159) battle [Chavlin Exer](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Chavlin%20Exer) $158 158 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $913 913 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 5.78x 2026-11-04 08:36 UTC

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Secret Collection $20.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/502) battle [Hwang Yeji](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Hwang%20Yeji) $20.00 $705 35.23x 2026-11-04 17:24 UTC

[CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Fade $8.49](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/fade-1) [Chetras-](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Chetras-) $8.49 $541 63.66x 2026-11-03 23:01 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [The Sport & Field Collection $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/292) battle [FD God](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/FD%20God) $3.00 $503 167.6x 2026-11-07 00:55 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [The Sport & Field Collection $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/292) battle [Duel Links Stuff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Duel%20Links%20Stuff) $3.00 $503 167.6x 2026-11-06 18:06 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [The Sport & Field Collection $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/292) battle [⚡SASUKE Uᴄʜɪʜᴀ⚡](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/%E2%9A%A1SASUKE%20U%E1%B4%84%CA%9C%C9%AA%CA%9C%E1%B4%80%E2%9A%A1) $3.00 $503 167.6x 2026-11-05 22:24 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [The Sport & Field Collection $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/292) battle [zcz209yr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/zcz209yr) $3.00 $503 167.6x 2026-11-04 21:34 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [The Sport & Field Collection $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/292) battle [Min Thiha Naing](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Min%20Thiha%20Naing) $3.00 $503 167.6x 2026-11-03 18:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a1-s-fade-factory-new&window=all)

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [fade 5% $9.47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-93eeff612) battle [tostinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/tostinho) $9.26 $171 18.45x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Shank em John $8.61](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-86dfae635) battle [Lime](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Lime) $8.62 $171 19.82x 2026-11-12 07:41 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [15 % red $21.83](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9029e42c3) battle Hidden $21.75 $171 7.86x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [daggar butterfly $1,322](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-801d64cf8) battle Hidden $1,309 $171 0.13x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [daggar butterfly $1,322](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-801d64cf8) battle Hidden $1,309 $171 0.13x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [daggar butterfly $1,322](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-801d64cf8) battle [DaggarCS twitch live](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DaggarCS%20twitch%20live) $1,309 $171 0.13x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [daggar butterfly $1,322](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-801d64cf8) battle Hidden $1,309 $171 0.13x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Rivera Ayyvee V25 $90.73](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-0719fa686) battle Hidden $90.73 $171 1.88x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Day and Knight $17.11](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a927dcd01) battle Hidden $17.11 $171 9.99x 2026-11-12 07:27 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) [Day and Knight $17.11](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a927dcd01) battle Hidden $17.11 $171 9.99x 2026-11-12 07:16 UTC

epic · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt