---
title: "M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 1,751 drops on 18 sites in 7 days, worth $15.01 to $146. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new)

# M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)

weapon, classified · M4A1-S · Guardian · Factory New. Market name: M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 1,751 · on 18 sites

Average value · $48.22 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $15.01

Highest · $146

In cases · 40 · with published odds

Price spread · 822% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 582 | $50.51 | $49.60 | $51.58 | 7h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 469 | $24.11 | $15.15 | $55.84 | 7h |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 212 | $83.07 | $78.56 | $89.42 | 7h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 117 | $53.10 | $49.63 | $55.93 | 7h |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 87 | $84.84 | $69.50 | $119 | 1d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 63 | $65.87 | $54.91 | $91.81 | 1d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 58 | $44.66 | $44.66 | $44.66 | 2d |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 50 | $15.83 | $15.01 | $25.21 | 1d |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 38 | $19.42 | $19.42 | $19.42 | 2d |
| [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 29 | $24.94 | $24.94 | $24.94 | 2d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 11 | $146 | $146 | $146 | 1d |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 9 | $64.71 | $63.12 | $66.84 | 1d |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 9 | $25.49 | $25.49 | $25.49 | 6d |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 6 | $24.53 | $24.53 | $24.53 | 3d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 5 | $68.96 | $65.63 | $70.63 | 7h |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 4 | $134 | $134 | $134 | 4d |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | 1 | $29.23 | $29.23 | $29.23 | 4d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 1 | $51.91 | $51.91 | $51.91 | 5d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Hot and Cold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $189 | 22.0% | $51.58 | 0.3× |
| [Diamond Handz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/diamond-handz) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $4,283 | 20.0% | $16.20 | 0.0× |
| [Spartan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $76.59 | 15.0% | $22.81 | 0.3× |
| [Mystic Elements](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mystic-elements) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $188 | 15.0% | $32.42 | 0.2× |
| [Flocktail Hour](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/flocktail-hour) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $15.08 | 12.5% | $19.42 | 1.3× |
| [M4A1 Shop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4a1-shop) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $66.88 | 12.0% | $19.42 | 0.3× |
| [Xplosive CS2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/427) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $52.75 | 1 in 13 | $80.48 | 1.5× |
| [North Pole](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/412) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $100 | 1 in 17 | $80.48 | 0.8× |
| [Fear](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fear) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $87.55 | 1 in 20 | $51.58 | 0.6× |
| [Illumination](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/illumination) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $22.11 | 1 in 20 | $51.58 | 2.3× |
| [Abyss](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $63.43 | 1 in 20 | $20.79 | 0.3× |
| [Halloween Budget](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/3) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $15.00 | 1 in 28 | $29.23 | 1.9× |
| [Ionized](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/ionized) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $22.43 | 1 in 36 | $51.58 | 2.3× |
| [VIEFORIT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1528257) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.00 | 1 in 37 | $66.47 | 1.7× |
| [Sit Ups](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sit-ups) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $39.12 | 1 in 50 | $51.58 | 1.3× |
| [Blacksmith](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/blacksmith) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $28.96 | 1 in 59 | $51.58 | 1.8× |
| [SPAJKK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $50.00 | 1 in 75 | $60.82 | 1.2× |
| [SPAJKK JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/spajkk-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $447 | 1 in 84 | $60.82 | 0.1× |
| [Golden Seed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635219) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $35.00 | 1 in 93 | $132 | 3.8× |
| [Winter Offensive Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-offensive-weapon-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $4.45 | 1 in 94 | $15.15 | 3.4× |
| [Final Four](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/final-four) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $21.82 | 1 in 100 | $55.84 | 2.6× |
| [Barricade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/132) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $3.18 | 1 in 100 | $25.49 | 8.0× |
| [The 100 CS2 Case Skins](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/277) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $91.70 | 1 in 100 | $80.48 | 0.9× |
| [Olkuna Case Skins Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/449) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $47.33 | 1 in 100 | $115 | 2.4× |
| [10% M4A1-S](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/426) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $9.10 | 1 in 155 | $54.91 | 6.0× |
| [Raw Growth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635172) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $35.00 | 1 in 172 | $126 | 3.6× |
| [10% Weapons](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/398) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $27.56 | 1 in 200 | $119 | 4.3× |
| [MarioSPZoo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1011868) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $7.70 | 1 in 246 | $66.47 | 8.6× |
| [Dauntless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dauntless) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $36.96 | 1 in 292 | $70.63 | 1.9× |
| [Fireflies](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fireflies) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $4.08 | 1 in 333 | $51.58 | 12.6× |
| [Melody](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/167) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $15.00 | 1 in 338 | $74.13 | 4.9× |
| [NOBLE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/noble) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $15.00 | 1 in 555 | $60.33 | 4.0× |
| [CS2 Christmas Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/471) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $6.51 | 1 in 1,538 | $69.50 | 10.7× |
| [WINTER OFFENSIVE WEAPON CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/228) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $9.70 | 1 in 2,000 | $167 | 17.2× |
| [Never Again](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $8.00 | 1 in 2,128 | $65.63 | 8.2× |
| [Zasecrcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/zasecrcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $4.38 | 1 in 2,457 | $50.80 | 11.6× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 5,882 | $65.63 | 12.5× |
| [CLASSIFIED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/classified) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $2.99 | 1 in 6,652 | $59.22 | 19.8× |
| [CLASSIFIED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/257) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $16.92 | 1 in 10,000 | $80.12 | 4.7× |
| [Penny](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/penny) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $1.14 | 1 in 83,333 | $50.80 | 44.6× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [GLOCK-18 $0.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/glock-18-1) [Kukuś92](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Kuku%C5%9B92) $0.99 $134 135.5x 2026-11-08 17:44 UTC

[CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [GLOCK-18 $0.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/glock-18-1) [kunstwerk.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/kunstwerk.) $0.99 $134 135.5x 2026-11-07 11:26 UTC

[CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [GLOCK-18 $0.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/glock-18-1) [Testermaester](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Testermaester) $0.99 $134 135.5x 2026-11-05 16:32 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [TinMatLoz x Rega 1.3% m4s $0.69](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-b0cb0bef3) battle Hidden $0.69 $53.81 77.99x 2026-11-10 03:09 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle [Legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Legend) $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:41 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle Hidden $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:41 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle Hidden $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:41 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle Hidden $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle Hidden $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:36 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Final Four $21.82](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/final-four) battle [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $21.82 33.57 gems $55.84 85.91 gems 2.56x 2026-11-12 07:35 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle Hidden $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:32 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle [Legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Legend) $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:30 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle Hidden $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:30 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Hot and Cold $189](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hot-and-cold) battle [Legend](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Legend) $189 269 coins $51.58 73.69 coins 0.27x 2026-11-12 07:22 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt