---
title: "M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 2,808 drops on 20 sites in 7 days, worth $0.12 to $4,578. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T11:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new)

# M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)

weapon, classified · M4A1-S · Hot Rod · Factory New. Market name: M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 2,808 · on 20 sites

Average value · $730 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $0.12

Highest · $4,578

In cases · 50 · with published odds

Price spread · 984% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 1,248 | $184 | $0.12 | $966 | 11h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 346 | $823 | $382 | $2,197 | 11h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 320 | $1,228 | $734 | $2,622 | 11h |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 220 | $1,607 | $1,572 | $1,670 | 1d |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 179 | $595 | $595 | $595 | 11h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 107 | $1,634 | $1,592 | $1,726 | 1d |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 85 | $1,132 | $1,114 | $1,149 | 11h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 75 | $1,214 | $1,176 | $1,258 | 11h |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 48 | $1,487 | $518 | $4,578 | 11h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 41 | $1,369 | $1,369 | $1,369 | 1d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 38 | $1,284 | $1,284 | $1,284 | 3d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 32 | $1,460 | $1,314 | $1,858 | 1d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 29 | $1,172 | $1,112 | $1,249 | 1d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 11 | $1,234 | $1,216 | $1,274 | 2d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 9 | $1,956 | $1,956 | $1,956 | 1d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 8 | $1,720 | $1,720 | $1,720 | 3d |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 7 | $1,509 | $1,509 | $1,509 | 1d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 2 | $1,477 | $1,457 | $1,496 | 7d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 2 | $1,999 | $1,990 | $2,007 | 1d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $1,573 | $1,573 | $1,573 | 8d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Energize](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/energize) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $336 | 20.0% | $595 | 1.8× |
| [Hot rod](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/83) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $444 | 15.0% | $1,509 | 3.4× |
| [Red Dawn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-dawn) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $203 | 10.0% | $546 | 2.7× |
| [Seeing Red](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/274) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $1,710 | 10.0% | $1,509 | 0.9× |
| [Aurum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1094) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $6,377 | 10.0% | $2,714 | 0.4× |
| [Prestige](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/418) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $2,021 | 10.0% | $858 | 0.4× |
| [Space Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $1,959 | 10.0% | $2,972 | 1.5× |
| [Bugatti Tourbillon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/bugattitourbillon) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $1,399 | 1 in 13 | $1,137 | 0.8× |
| [POMPA TEAM JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/pompa-team-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $484 | 1 in 16 | $1,604 | 3.3× |
| [Winter Wreath](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/winter-wreath) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $471 | 1 in 17 | $436 | 0.9× |
| [SPORT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/sport) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $1,700 | 1 in 19 | $1,569 | 0.9× |
| [Forbes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/forbes) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $831 | 1 in 20 | $1,284 | 1.5× |
| [Demon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/demon) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $580 | 1 in 20 | $595 | 1.0× |
| [Lady Luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lady-luck) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $335 | 1 in 20 | $1,114 | 3.3× |
| [GOLDERRA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/golderra-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $299 | 1 in 20 | $1,604 | 5.4× |
| [Fakeshtein](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $0.10 | 1 in 20 | $0.12 | 1.3× |
| [Suppressed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressed) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $240 | 1 in 20 | $533 | 2.2× |
| [Red v Blue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $4,406 | 1 in 20 | $491 | 0.1× |
| [Killer Loadout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/killer-loadout) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $867 | 1 in 20 | $440 | 0.5× |
| [All in](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/529) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $1,178 | 1 in 20 | $1,509 | 1.3× |
| [RGB](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/61) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $54.00 | 1 in 20 | $470 | 8.7× |
| [FERRO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $484 | 1 in 23 | $1,619 | 3.3× |
| [Neon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/neon) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $588 | 1 in 24 | $953 | 1.6× |
| [ISAMU V2 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $514 | 1 in 24 | $1,592 | 3.1× |
| [TURBO WIN JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $376 | 1 in 27 | $1,604 | 4.3× |
| [GALAXY JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/galaxy-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $798 | 1 in 27 | $1,592 | 2.0× |
| [Ferrari F8 Tributo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/ferraritributo) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $879 | 1 in 28 | $1,137 | 1.3× |
| [Few Handshakes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/few-handshakes) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $252 | 1 in 29 | $882 | 3.5× |
| [Beaver Nickle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beaver-nickle) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $54.95 | 1 in 29 | $440 | 8.0× |
| [Void](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/394) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $341 | 1 in 29 | $915 | 2.7× |
| [Olympus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761256) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1,000 | 1 in 32 | $1,472 | 1.5× |
| [Dented](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dented) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $483 | 1 in 33 | $1,114 | 2.3× |
| [Wisdom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/wisdom) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $56.97 | 1 in 33 | $557 | 9.8× |
| [Mad Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/111) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $3,000 | 1 in 33 | $1,369 | 0.5× |
| [Lore](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/815305) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1,030 | 1 in 33 | $1,466 | 1.4× |
| [Dedication](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dedication) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $124 | 1 in 50 | $552 | 4.4× |
| [Dante](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/dante) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $87.69 | 1 in 50 | $521 | 5.9× |
| [Turbo Heat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/423) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $50.62 | 1 in 50 | $854 | 16.9× |
| [13 0 Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $359 | 1 in 67 | $1,509 | 4.2× |
| [Factory new](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $1,416 | 1 in 76 | $1,430 | 1.0× |
| [Da Prince](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/da-prince) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $98.01 | 1 in 80 | $595 | 6.1× |
| [Immoral](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/immoral) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $116 | 1 in 87 | $966 | 8.3× |
| [Phantom Doppler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-doppler) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $50.44 | 1 in 100 | $595 | 11.8× |
| [M4A1 Shop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/m4a1-shop) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $66.88 | 1 in 100 | $595 | 8.9× |
| [Inflammable](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/inflammable) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $184 | 1 in 100 | $1,114 | 6.0× |
| [Mercenary](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mercenary) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $85.83 | 1 in 100 | $1,114 | 13.0× |
| [Storm Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/storm-case) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $182 | 1 in 100 | $1,114 | 6.1× |
| [Dark Matter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dark-matter) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $70.57 | 1 in 100 | $1,114 | 15.8× |
| [Christmas Lights](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/christmas-lights) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $27.81 | 1 in 100 | $556 | 20.0× |
| [Prime Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prime-rifles) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $137 | 1 in 100 | $1,704 | 12.4× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Applebees $4,839](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2593) battle Hidden $4,839 7,500 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,578 7,096 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Applebees $4,839](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2593) battle [bandit.gg.CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/bandit.gg.CSBattle) $4,839 7,500 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,578 7,096 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-04 10:21 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Applebees $4,839](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2593) battle Hidden $4,839 7,500 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,578 7,096 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-04 10:21 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Applebees $4,839](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2593) battle Hidden $4,839 7,500 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,578 7,096 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-03 19:02 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Applebees $4,839](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2593) battle [★Rogerfg104★](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/%E2%98%85Rogerfg104%E2%98%85) $4,839 7,500 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,578 7,096 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-03 18:57 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Applebees $4,839](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2593) battle Hidden $4,839 7,500 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,578 7,096 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.95x 2026-11-03 18:54 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Rogue $3.53](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) battle Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $2,622 3,745 coins 741.6x 2026-11-12 09:13 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Rogue $3.53](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) battle Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $2,622 3,745 coins 741.6x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Rogue $3.53](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) battle Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $2,622 3,745 coins 741.6x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Rogue $3.53](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) battle Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $2,622 3,745 coins 741.6x 2026-11-10 21:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Fakeshtein $0.10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/2e17fca06b3ddffb000884a87c93254f) battle Hidden $0.10 0.16 coins $0.12 0.2 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 10:28 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Fakeshtein $0.10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/2e17fca06b3ddffb000884a87c93254f) battle Hidden $0.10 0.16 coins $0.12 0.2 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 10:27 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Fakeshtein $0.10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/2e17fca06b3ddffb000884a87c93254f) battle Hidden $0.10 0.16 coins $0.12 0.2 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 10:27 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Fakeshtein $0.10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/2e17fca06b3ddffb000884a87c93254f) battle [cccdc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/cccdc) $0.10 0.16 coins $0.12 0.2 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 10:23 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Sex Haver $30.38](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sex-haver) battle Hidden $30.38 43.4 coins $1,114 1,591 coins 36.66x 2026-11-12 10:14 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Symbiosis $35.74](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/symbiosis) battle Hidden $35.74 51.06 coins $863 1,233 coins 24.15x 2026-11-12 09:45 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Supreme $9.39](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/c2dfd13ce8a1a93a3fc72ef36cb1405f) battle [MY3R$](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/MY3R%24) $9.39 15.28 coins $829 1,349 coins 88.28x 2026-11-12 09:34 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Gem Clash $922](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/gem-clash) battle [➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%9E%B3%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%96%F0%9D%99%99.%F0%9D%98%BD%F0%9D%99%A4%F0%9D%99%AE%E3%83%84) $854 $1,176 1.38x 2026-11-12 09:20 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Rogue $3.53](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/rogue) battle Hidden $3.53 5.05 coins $2,622 3,745 coins 741.6x 2026-11-12 09:13 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [Symbiosis $35.74](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/symbiosis) battle Hidden $35.74 51.06 coins $863 1,233 coins 24.15x 2026-11-12 08:52 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt