---
title: "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 7,235 drops on 8 sites in 7 days, worth $0.52 to $1.88. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new)

# M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)

weapon, Rare · M4A1-S · Rose Hex · Factory New. Market name: M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 7,235 · on 8 sites

Average value · $0.64 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $0.52

Highest · $1.88

In cases · 19 · with published odds

Price spread · 130% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 1,969 | $0.55 | $0.52 | $0.60 | 4h |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1,561 | $0.57 | $0.54 | $0.57 | 4h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 1,015 | $0.68 | $0.63 | $0.72 | 4h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 773 | $0.56 | $0.54 | $0.58 | 4h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 762 | $0.69 | $0.58 | $0.76 | 4h |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 642 | $0.66 | $0.62 | $0.70 | 4h |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 487 | $1.26 | $1.01 | $1.88 | 4h |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 26 | $0.71 | $0.70 | $0.73 | 4h |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [BANK HEIST](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/bank-heist) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $11.00 | 15.7% | $0.63 | 0.1× |
| [Radiant](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/radiant) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.47 | 1 in 12 | $0.57 | 1.2× |
| [M4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/m4) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $3.82 | 1 in 21 | $0.62 | 0.2× |
| [Change](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/change) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.41 | 1 in 21 | $0.57 | 1.4× |
| [M 4a 1s](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/m4a1s) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $1.99 | 1 in 26 | $0.57 | 0.3× |
| [Wicker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/wicker) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.99 | 1 in 28 | $0.57 | 0.2× |
| [BANK HEIST JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/bank-heist-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $341 | 1 in 29 | $0.63 | 0.0× |
| [Orange](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/orange) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.49 | 1 in 33 | $0.57 | 0.2× |
| [CACHE BACK JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $57.12 | 1 in 52 | $0.69 | 0.0× |
| [Potion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/potion) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $5.00 | 1 in 58 | $0.57 | 0.1× |
| [Radiant](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $0.36 | 1 in 59 | $0.54 | 1.5× |
| [CACHE BACK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/cache-back) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.00 | 1 in 81 | $0.69 | 0.3× |
| [Radiant](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568707) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $0.70 | 1 in 82 | $0.58 | 0.8× |
| [BANG BANG JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/bang-bang-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $162 | 1 in 100 | $0.66 | 0.0× |
| [INSECTOR JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $106 | 1 in 135 | $0.66 | 0.0× |
| [INSECTOR](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/insector) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.50 | 1 in 148 | $0.63 | 0.3× |
| [BANG BANG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/bang-bang) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $5.50 | 1 in 256 | $0.63 | 0.1× |
| [STRAKA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/straka) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $3.95 | 1 in 333 | $0.62 | 0.2× |
| [Radiant Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/radiant-collection) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $2.50 | 1 in 3,704 | $0.78 | 0.3× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

**No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Diamond Steel $3.50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/33) battle [Kes Zona](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Kes%20Zona) $3.50 $1.25 0.36x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Radiant $0.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) battle Hidden $0.36 $0.54 1.50x 2026-11-12 04:07 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Radiant $0.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) battle [YouGrx](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/YouGrx) $0.36 $0.54 1.50x 2026-11-12 03:48 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Diamond Steel $3.50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/33) battle [f5ipqvxc](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/f5ipqvxc) $3.50 $1.25 0.36x 2026-11-12 03:18 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Radiant $0.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) battle Hidden $0.36 $0.54 1.50x 2026-11-12 03:16 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Radiant $0.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) battle Hidden $0.36 $0.54 1.50x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Radiant $0.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) battle Hidden $0.36 $0.54 1.50x 2026-11-12 02:59 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Radiant $0.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/radiant-collection) battle Hidden $0.36 $0.54 1.50x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [Diamond Steel $3.50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/33) battle [yasutoro](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/yasutoro) $3.50 $1.25 0.36x 2026-11-12 02:53 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-rose-hex-factory-new) [M4 $3.82](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/m4) battle Hidden $3.82 $0.62 0.16x 2026-11-12 02:49 UTC

Rare · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt