---
title: "M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 1,745 drops on 14 sites in 7 days, worth $26.44 to $341. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T02:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New)

weapon, covert · M4A4 · Bullet Rain · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 1,745 · on 14 sites

Average value · $90.93 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $26.44

Highest · $341

In cases · 39 · with published odds

Price spread · 797% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 782 | $55.28 | $50.19 | $84.55 | 2h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 456 | $180 | $165 | $200 | 2h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 247 | $37.64 | $37.64 | $37.64 | 2h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 154 | $42.42 | $26.44 | $49.24 | 1d |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 34 | $43.08 | $42.92 | $43.29 | 2h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 22 | $232 | $211 | $265 | 1d |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 17 | $279 | $248 | $341 | 2d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 10 | $183 | $169 | $189 | 8d |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 10 | $198 | $180 | $219 | 4d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 5 | $87.08 | $87.08 | $87.08 | 5d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 3 | $260 | $260 | $260 | 5d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 2 | $196 | $196 | $196 | 5d |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 2 | $233 | $208 | $258 | 2d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $338 | $338 | $338 | 6d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Drew V3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10045) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $1,047 | 25.0% | $50.00 | 0.0× |
| [Supernatural](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/348) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $3,888 | 24.0% | $39.20 | 0.0× |
| [Raw](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/raw) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $178 | 15.0% | $37.64 | 0.2× |
| [Bullet Proof](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $23.48 | 12.0% | $49.24 | 2.1× |
| [Powerhare](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1163) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $60.50 | 10.0% | $72.00 | 1.2× |
| [Agi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/agi) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $415 | 1 in 11 | $169 | 0.4× |
| [Undead](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $84.86 | 1 in 13 | $200 | 2.4× |
| [Hawk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawk) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $44.87 | 1 in 20 | $37.64 | 0.8× |
| [Wild Printer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-printer) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $177 | 1 in 20 | $37.64 | 0.2× |
| [N-ball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/n-ball) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $54.60 | 1 in 20 | $84.55 | 1.5× |
| [Tranquil](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tranquil) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $9.59 | 1 in 25 | $37.64 | 3.9× |
| [Heat Wave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/heat-wave) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $70.32 | 1 in 25 | $200 | 2.8× |
| [TURBO WIN JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $379 | 1 in 27 | $261 | 0.7× |
| [Cappuccino Assassino](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/cappuccino-assassino) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $31.87 | 1 in 29 | $37.64 | 1.2× |
| [Nebula](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/nebula) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $57.46 | 1 in 29 | $200 | 3.5× |
| [Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $15.26 | 1 in 47 | $50.19 | 3.3× |
| [FERRO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $484 | 1 in 69 | $246 | 0.5× |
| [Command Ops](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/command-ops) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $7.58 | 1 in 80 | $37.64 | 5.0× |
| [Parlay](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/parlay) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $32.68 | 1 in 100 | $200 | 6.1× |
| [The Gunslinger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $58.39 | 1 in 100 | $200 | 3.4× |
| [Train](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/train) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $3.37 | 1 in 100 | $36.70 | 10.9× |
| [Black Pearl 1200x](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/black-pearl-1200x) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $4.83 | 1 in 200 | $37.64 | 7.8× |
| [eSports 2014 Summer Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/esports-2014-summer-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $9.07 | 1 in 313 | $26.44 | 2.9× |
| [TURBO WIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $50.00 | 1 in 357 | $265 | 5.3× |
| [Jukebox](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $2.71 | 1 in 455 | $200 | 73.9× |
| [Rubik case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $6.38 | 1 in 500 | $200 | 31.4× |
| [Boros](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/boros) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $26.66 | 1 in 543 | $169 | 6.3× |
| [Party Fever](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/party-fever) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $2.40 | 1 in 1,000 | $37.64 | 15.7× |
| [Solar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/solar) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $11.91 | 1 in 1,000 | $200 | 16.8× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/258) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $100 | 1 in 1,000 | $260 | 2.6× |
| [FERRO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $30.00 | 1 in 5,000 | $261 | 8.7× |
| [Jason c](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jason-c) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $19.99 | 1 in 5,076 | $169 | 8.4× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/m4a4) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $7.21 | 1 in 5,263 | $237 | 32.9× |
| [Is for me?](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $7.71 | 1 in 7,143 | $237 | 30.8× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/covert) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $6.99 | 1 in 7,806 | $236 | 33.8× |
| [FANG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/fang) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $29.21 | 1 in 8,333 | $261 | 8.9× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 20,000 | $238 | 45.3× |
| [ESPORTS 2014 SUMMER CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/230) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $13.43 | 1 in 20,000 | $624 | 46.5× |
| [Chainsawman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/chainsawman) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $3.46 | 1 in 83,333 | $169 | 48.7× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 23:55 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle [Manu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Manu) $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 23:37 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 23:09 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle [Manu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Manu) $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 22:51 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 21:46 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Jukebox $2.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/jukebox) battle Hidden $2.71 3.87 coins $200 286 coins 73.90x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new&window=all)

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [SPIRIT M4 $78.50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spirit-m4) battle Hidden $78.50 157 coins $37.64 75.28 coins 0.48x 2026-11-12 02:38 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [N-ball $54.60](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/028ff4ff583c06af69095d0f7d35bd38) battle Hidden $54.60 88.88 coins $84.55 138 coins 1.55x 2026-11-12 02:28 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [SPIRIT M4 $78.50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spirit-m4) battle Hidden $78.50 157 coins $37.64 75.28 coins 0.48x 2026-11-12 02:26 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [N-ball $54.60](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/028ff4ff583c06af69095d0f7d35bd38) battle [Podmiot Szatana](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Podmiot%20Szatana) $54.60 88.88 coins $84.55 138 coins 1.55x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Low Battery $13.61](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/low-battery) battle Hidden $13.61 19.44 coins $42.92 61.31 coins 3.15x 2026-11-12 01:55 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Low Battery $13.61](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/low-battery) battle Hidden $13.61 19.44 coins $42.92 61.31 coins 3.15x 2026-11-12 01:06 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Hawk $44.87](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/hawk) battle Hidden $44.87 89.73 coins $37.64 75.28 coins 0.84x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Parlay $32.68](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/parlay) battle [Gyzmo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gyzmo) $32.68 46.68 coins $200 286 coins 6.13x 2026-11-12 00:51 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Revolution $15.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7cb17dd97af176e3caf575ebb6d412da) battle [Podmiot Szatana](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Podmiot%20Szatana) $15.26 24.85 coins $50.19 81.7 coins 3.29x 2026-11-12 00:51 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) [Revolution $15.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7cb17dd97af176e3caf575ebb6d412da) battle Hidden $15.26 24.85 coins $50.19 81.7 coins 3.29x 2026-11-12 00:45 UTC

covert · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt