---
title: "M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) across CS2 case sites: 2,401 drops on 17 sites in 7 days, worth $12.06 to $175. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear)

# M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)

weapon, covert · M4A4 · Bullet Rain · Minimal Wear. Market name: M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 2,401 · on 17 sites

Average value · $78.40 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $12.06

Highest · $175

In cases · 43 · with published odds

Price spread · 1351% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 1,889 | $78.66 | $77.70 | $79.10 | 5h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 142 | $12.09 | $12.09 | $12.09 | 1d |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 123 | $105 | $96.47 | $108 | 5h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 69 | $99.15 | $91.69 | $115 | 5h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 49 | $175 | $175 | $175 | 1d |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 44 | $12.06 | $12.06 | $12.06 | 1d |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 31 | $132 | $128 | $137 | 1d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 17 | $83.25 | $82.62 | $84.75 | 1d |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 13 | $82.92 | $81.66 | $84.48 | 1d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 10 | $75.73 | $71.85 | $79.61 | 7d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 6 | $142 | $142 | $144 | 4d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 2 | $170 | $170 | $170 | 7d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 2 | $138 | $138 | $138 | 5d |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | 1 | $30.14 | $30.14 | $30.14 | 4d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $85.79 | $85.79 | $85.79 | 5d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 1 | $93.11 | $93.11 | $93.11 | 1d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $109 | $109 | $109 | 6d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Pearly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pearly) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $47.72 | 17.7% | $77.70 | 1.6× |
| [Revive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $29.63 | 10.0% | $77.70 | 2.6× |
| [Pressure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/pressure) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $103 | 10.0% | $77.70 | 0.8× |
| [Guns & Roses](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/435) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $14.14 | 1 in 13 | $30.14 | 2.1× |
| [Aimlock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/aimlock) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $49.33 | 1 in 14 | $77.70 | 1.6× |
| [Beach Umbrella](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $45.04 | 1 in 17 | $12.09 | 0.3× |
| [Surfer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/surfer) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $13.41 | 1 in 20 | $12.09 | 0.9× |
| [Winner Winner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/winner-winner) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $6.50 | 1 in 20 | $12.09 | 1.9× |
| [Heaps](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/269) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $29.50 | 1 in 25 | $97.85 | 3.3× |
| [Covert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/covert) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $109 | 1 in 30 | $85.79 | 0.8× |
| [Incognito](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/incognito) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $9.98 | 1 in 40 | $77.70 | 7.8× |
| [FERRO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $30.00 | 1 in 44 | $106 | 3.5× |
| [Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635179) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $75.00 | 1 in 49 | $91.69 | 1.2× |
| [Patryk Sprzęt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1426988) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $15.00 | 1 in 51 | $29.23 | 1.9× |
| [EDGE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/edge) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $37.50 | 1 in 52 | $106 | 2.8× |
| [FANG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/fang) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $29.21 | 1 in 54 | $106 | 3.6× |
| [The Cooler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $43.98 | 1 in 67 | $77.70 | 1.8× |
| [FERRO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $484 | 1 in 69 | $106 | 0.2× |
| [Conflagration](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/conflagration) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $17.38 | 1 in 74 | $77.70 | 4.5× |
| [Hemoglobin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $23.78 | 1 in 77 | $77.70 | 3.3× |
| [M4A4 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $287 | 1 in 82 | $108 | 0.4× |
| [Slime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $2.09 | 1 in 100 | $77.70 | 37.1× |
| [Tent Builder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635103) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $55.00 | 1 in 113 | $115 | 2.1× |
| [Steel Control](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635173) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $50.00 | 1 in 143 | $143 | 2.9× |
| [3dmax team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $15.49 | 1 in 224 | $85.79 | 5.5× |
| [Jason c](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jason-c) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $19.99 | 1 in 356 | $85.79 | 4.3× |
| [Dennyyr](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dennyyr) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $30.00 | 1 in 376 | $93.65 | 3.1× |
| [Mummy Tomb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.00 | 1 in 478 | $115 | 11.5× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/258) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $100 | 1 in 500 | $142 | 1.4× |
| [Doppler Effect](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/doppler-effect) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $3.19 | 1 in 556 | $12.06 | 3.8× |
| [ARTEMIS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $10.00 | 1 in 667 | $106 | 10.6× |
| [Dmarket case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/479) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $10.00 | 1 in 1,000 | $144 | 14.3× |
| [Crusty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1008) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $0.62 | 1 in 1,111 | $28.72 | 46.3× |
| [Hell Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/466) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $8.00 | 1 in 1,250 | $142 | 17.7× |
| [Is for me?](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $7.71 | 1 in 2,632 | $93.65 | 12.1× |
| [Tatsumaki](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/tatsumaki) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $5.02 | 1 in 3,984 | $85.79 | 17.1× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/covert) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $13.00 | 1 in 4,348 | $108 | 8.3× |
| [Frost Magic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635128) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.80 | 1 in 4,348 | $198 | 110.0× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/m4a4) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $7.21 | 1 in 5,000 | $93.65 | 13.0× |
| [Collection 2014](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2014) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $4.25 | 1 in 6,667 | $93.65 | 22.0× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 9,091 | $109 | 20.7× |
| [POLYCHROME](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/polychrome) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $10.00 | 1 in 14,286 | $106 | 10.6× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.75 | 1 in 100,000 | $108 | 39.1× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Condition Zero $0.85](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/123) battle [ya v tilt'e](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/ya%20v%20tilt'e) $0.85 $128 150.1x 2026-11-06 13:56 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear&window=all)

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Revive $29.63](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive) battle Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $77.70 111 coins 2.62x 2026-11-12 05:24 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Mummy Tomb $10.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603) battle [Maja ;3](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Maja%20%3B3) $10.00 $115 11.48x 2026-11-12 05:07 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Revive $29.63](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive) battle Hidden $29.63 42.33 coins $77.70 111 coins 2.62x 2026-11-12 05:03 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Incognito $9.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/incognito) battle Hidden $9.98 14.25 coins $77.70 111 coins 7.79x 2026-11-12 04:39 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Slime $2.09](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) battle Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $77.70 111 coins 37.12x 2026-11-12 04:35 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Hemoglobin $23.78](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hemoglobin) battle Hidden $23.78 33.97 coins $77.70 111 coins 3.27x 2026-11-12 04:25 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Incognito $9.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/incognito) battle Hidden $9.98 14.25 coins $77.70 111 coins 7.79x 2026-11-12 03:45 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Slime $2.09](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) battle Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $77.70 111 coins 37.12x 2026-11-12 03:15 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Slime $2.09](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/slime) battle Hidden $2.09 2.99 coins $77.70 111 coins 37.12x 2026-11-12 03:14 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) [Revive $29.63](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/revive) battle [Sunflower](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Sunflower) $29.63 42.33 coins $77.70 111 coins 2.62x 2026-11-12 03:13 UTC

covert · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt