---
title: "M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 721 drops on 12 sites in 7 days, worth $152 to $4,032. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New)

weapon, restricted · M4A4 · Daybreak · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 721 · on 12 sites

Average value · $558 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $152

Highest · $4,032

In cases · 21 · with published odds

Price spread · 1208% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 343 | $212 | $152 | $746 | 22h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 164 | $763 | $710 | $838 | 22h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 97 | $1,025 | $553 | $1,247 | 22h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 50 | $183 | $183 | $183 | 22h |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 28 | $2,388 | $177 | $4,032 | 22h |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 10 | $226 | $226 | $226 | 22h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 9 | $409 | $409 | $409 | 2d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 6 | $2,053 | $2,053 | $2,053 | 22h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 6 | $643 | $605 | $668 | 22h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 4 | $652 | $600 | $805 | 1d |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 3 | $559 | $559 | $559 | 5d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 1 | $2,387 | $2,387 | $2,387 | 8d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Stock Investor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stock-investor) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $122 | 30.0% | $196 | 1.6× |
| [Pirate](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pirate) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $122 | 10.0% | $162 | 1.3× |
| [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2,193 | 1 in 16 | $799 | 0.4× |
| [Armored](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/armored) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $186 | 1 in 20 | $561 | 3.0× |
| [Circus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/circus) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $181 | 1 in 29 | $561 | 3.1× |
| [Excalibur](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647192) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $700 | 1 in 36 | $805 | 1.2× |
| [M4A4 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $287 | 1 in 41 | $806 | 2.8× |
| [Vice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $86.50 | 1 in 43 | $183 | 2.1× |
| [Carbine Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/carbine-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $53.63 | 1 in 50 | $746 | 13.9× |
| [LOTUS FLOWER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $195 | 1 in 56 | $806 | 4.1× |
| [Serpent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $102 | 1 in 250 | $226 | 2.2× |
| [Risingsun](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/risingsun) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $89.99 | 1 in 518 | $568 | 6.3× |
| [Golden Hunter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/168) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $165 | 1 in 1,000 | $2,053 | 12.4× |
| [Ciekavski](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/474) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $25.00 | 1 in 1,923 | $702 | 28.1× |
| [Vault Heist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vault-heist) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $5.19 | 1 in 2,500 | $183 | 35.2× |
| [Rubik case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/rubik-case) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $6.38 | 1 in 6,667 | $561 | 87.8× |
| [10% M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/428) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $17.10 | 1 in 10,000 | $604 | 35.3× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/32) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $5.00 | 1 in 16,667 | $600 | 120.0× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.75 | 1 in 50,000 | $806 | 293.3× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 100,000 | $831 | 158.2× |
| [RESTRICTED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/255) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $2.57 | 1 in 100,000 | $2,387 | 928.6× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle [RAITEKK](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/RAITEKK) $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-04 10:13 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-04 05:30 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-04 05:30 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-04 05:29 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [Enigmatic $5,968](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2600) battle Hidden $5,968 9,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4,032 6,250 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.68x 2026-11-04 05:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-daybreak-factory-new&window=all)

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) battle Hidden $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 22:01 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:59 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:56 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:56 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:55 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:54 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) battle [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:51 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) battle Hidden $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:50 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [M4A4 | Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) [LOTUS FLOWER JOKER $2,193](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/lotus-flower-joker) battle [IsAmU](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/IsAmU) $2,193 $799 0.36x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

restricted · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt