---
title: "M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 316 drops on 17 sites in 7 days, worth $4.12 to $240. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)

weapon, covert · M4A4 · Desert-Strike · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 316 · on 17 sites

Average value · $29.10 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $4.12

Highest · $240

In cases · 30 · with published odds

Price spread · 5395% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 52 | $5.40 | $5.40 | $5.40 | 1d |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 43 | $4.95 | $4.95 | $4.95 | 1d |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 35 | $9.52 | $9.52 | $9.52 | 1d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 30 | $71.29 | $71.29 | $71.29 | 1d |
| [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 28 | $5.79 | $5.79 | $5.79 | 1d |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 27 | $4.37 | $4.12 | $4.60 | 1d |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 27 | $61.98 | $57.82 | $67.91 | 1h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 25 | $60.27 | $57.77 | $64.01 | 1d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 20 | $79.70 | $79.70 | $79.70 | 1d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 9 | $11.10 | $11.10 | $11.10 | 4d |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | 7 | $8.81 | $8.81 | $8.81 | 2d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 5 | $61.68 | $60.78 | $63.04 | 4d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 3 | $59.24 | $58.87 | $59.42 | 7d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 2 | $72.20 | $70.99 | $73.40 | 2d |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 1 | $76.09 | $76.09 | $76.09 | 6d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 1 | $240 | $240 | $240 | 3d |
| [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | 1 | $66.47 | $66.47 | $66.47 | 7d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Krabby](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1189) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $31.55 | 28.5% | $8.81 | 0.3× |
| [Sandy Sabotage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dca) | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | $11.83 | 25.0% | $5.79 | 0.5× |
| [Pyramids](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pyramids) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1,194 | 15.0% | $4.60 | 0.0× |
| [Afterglow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/afterglow) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $85.68 | 15.0% | $64.01 | 0.7× |
| [City Lights](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $50.00 | 1 in 13 | $8.81 | 0.2× |
| [Mystic Lamp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1212) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $31.22 | 1 in 15 | $8.81 | 0.3× |
| [Blooming Quest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1173) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $76.29 | 1 in 15 | $8.81 | 0.1× |
| [Ripe Harvest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1220) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $163 | 1 in 16 | $8.81 | 0.1× |
| [SZELIS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375943) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.00 | 1 in 20 | $13.55 | 1.4× |
| [2 dollar 20% 4x min](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/902) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $1.26 | 1 in 33 | $9.52 | 7.5× |
| [Mission the Idol](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/94) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $75.00 | 1 in 33 | $71.29 | 1.0× |
| [Sandbag Demon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/228) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $1.17 | 1 in 100 | $9.52 | 8.2× |
| [Callouts](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/196) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $1.09 | 1 in 100 | $9.52 | 8.7× |
| [Sharp Discount](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635098) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $35.00 | 1 in 152 | $152 | 4.3× |
| [Armed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/armed) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $26.68 | 1 in 182 | $64.01 | 2.4× |
| [MEGAKNIGHT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/megaknight) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $23.40 | 1 in 221 | $74.93 | 3.2× |
| [Hades](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.00 | 1 in 266 | $79.70 | 8.0× |
| [Huntsman Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/huntsman-weapon-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $6.59 | 1 in 313 | $4.12 | 0.6× |
| [PPL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460038) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $12.00 | 1 in 333 | $79.70 | 6.6× |
| [Pumpkin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/pumpkin) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $10.00 | 1 in 407 | $60.78 | 6.1× |
| [Red Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/red-vault) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $12.31 | 1 in 1,000 | $67.67 | 5.5× |
| [COVERT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/258) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $100 | 1 in 1,000 | $202 | 2.0× |
| [Huntsman Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/222) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $7.85 | 1 in 1,429 | $240 | 30.6× |
| [Contrast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/contrast) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $1.55 | 1 in 5,000 | $64.01 | 41.2× |
| [CS2 Christmas Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/471) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $6.51 | 1 in 6,667 | $174 | 26.8× |
| [Yes.](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/yes) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $3.12 | 1 in 6,667 | $73.63 | 23.6× |
| [Huntsman Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/huntsman) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $3.90 | 1 in 6,667 | $73.63 | 18.9× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 7,143 | $85.47 | 16.3× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/m4a4) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $7.21 | 1 in 10,000 | $73.63 | 10.2× |
| [Armour](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/243) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $1.89 | 1 in 33,333 | $240 | 127.1× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

**No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new&window=all)

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Huntsman Weapon $1.97](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/huntsmanweapon) battle [Henk](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Henk) $1.88 $67.91 36.12x 2026-11-12 00:46 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Mission the Idol $75.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/94) battle [Ferru ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Ferru%20%E3%83%84) $75.00 75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $71.29 71.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.95x 2026-11-11 23:04 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Contrast $1.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/contrast) battle Hidden $1.55 2.22 coins $64.01 91.44 coins 41.19x 2026-11-11 22:22 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Mission the Idol $75.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/94) [autistic and ashamed](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/autistic%20and%20ashamed) $75.00 75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $71.29 71.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.95x 2026-11-11 22:17 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Mission the Idol $75.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/94) battle [Nedge](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Nedge) $75.00 75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $71.29 71.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.95x 2026-11-11 21:55 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Mission the Idol $75.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/94) battle [Obiwan Canblowme](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Obiwan%20Canblowme) $75.00 75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $71.29 71.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.95x 2026-11-11 21:55 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [PPL $12.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1460038) battle Hidden $12.00 $79.70 6.64x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC

[500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Sandy Sabotage $11.83](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dca) battle Hidden $11.83 19,713 BUX $5.79 9,646 BUX 0.49x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Mission the Idol $75.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/94) battle [FrostyCookie](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/FrostyCookie) $75.00 75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $71.29 71.29 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.95x 2026-11-11 21:09 UTC

[500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) [M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) [Sandy Sabotage $11.83](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dca) battle Hidden $11.83 19,713 BUX $5.79 9,646 BUX 0.49x 2026-11-11 20:55 UTC

covert · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt