---
title: "M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 3,768 drops on 18 sites in 7 days, worth $11.49 to $197. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)

weapon, classified · M4A4 · Desolate Space · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 3,768 · on 18 sites

Average value · $36.00 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $11.49

Highest · $197

In cases · 50 · with published odds

Price spread · 926% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 1,065 | $27.95 | $11.49 | $109 | 19h |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 1,021 | $17.44 | $16.01 | $18.81 | 19h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 500 | $59.26 | $56.72 | $65.25 | 19h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 400 | $55.04 | $52.68 | $59.89 | 19h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 277 | $15.17 | $15.17 | $15.17 | 19h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 159 | $39.22 | $17.12 | $93.53 | 19h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 73 | $85.88 | $62.34 | $130 | 19h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 58 | $56.36 | $52.56 | $62.93 | 19h |
| [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 47 | $18.58 | $18.58 | $18.58 | 19h |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 46 | $97.82 | $97.50 | $102 | 19h |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 43 | $156 | $124 | $197 | 1d |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 36 | $29.14 | $29.14 | $29.14 | 19h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 18 | $87.97 | $87.97 | $87.97 | 19h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 10 | $34.88 | $34.88 | $34.88 | 2d |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 7 | $68.81 | $65.38 | $73.96 | 1d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 4 | $155 | $155 | $155 | 3d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 3 | $78.38 | $76.46 | $82.22 | 3d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $53.92 | $53.92 | $53.92 | 2d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [43 Gang](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/126) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $26.50 | 12.5% | $29.14 | 1.1× |
| [Cosmic Encounter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea7) | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | $22.61 | 12.0% | $18.58 | 0.8× |
| [Samz Spaceship](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $25.45 | 10.0% | $18.79 | 0.7× |
| [Yuletide Raiders](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/yuletide-raiders) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $80.17 | 10.0% | $109 | 1.4× |
| [Otherworldly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/otherworldly) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $39.37 | 1 in 13 | $59.89 | 1.5× |
| [Tranquillity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/tranquillity) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $11.29 | 1 in 15 | $16.01 | 1.4× |
| [Team CT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-ct) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $43.90 | 1 in 17 | $59.89 | 1.4× |
| [VoidBorn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/voidborn) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $27.87 | 1 in 17 | $47.11 | 1.7× |
| [Beach Umbrella](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/beach-umbrella) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $45.04 | 1 in 20 | $15.17 | 0.3× |
| [Zero Gravity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/zero-gravity) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $24.76 | 1 in 20 | $36.39 | 1.5× |
| [Poseidon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $12.27 | 1 in 22 | $18.81 | 1.5× |
| [Elfs Rifle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/elfs-rifle) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $2.40 | 1 in 25 | $15.17 | 6.3× |
| [Catch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/198) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $124 | 1 in 25 | $89.63 | 0.7× |
| [Graviton](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/graviton) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $5.31 | 1 in 33 | $15.17 | 2.9× |
| [Sky Dreams](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sky-dreams) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $4.65 | 1 in 33 | $21.36 | 4.6× |
| [Extra Terrestrial](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/extra-terrestrial) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $3.59 | 1 in 33 | $12.96 | 3.6× |
| [Nexus Nebula](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nexus-nebula) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $26.77 | 1 in 33 | $76.83 | 2.9× |
| [Voolt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/884328) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $80.00 | 1 in 40 | $83.93 | 1.0× |
| [Sky High](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sky-high) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $15.45 | 1 in 48 | $59.89 | 3.9× |
| [Space Exploring](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb0) | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | $3.44 | 1 in 50 | $18.58 | 5.4× |
| [Lucky 25](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/654) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $2.16 | 1 in 50 | $29.14 | 13.5× |
| [Gamma Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $2.22 | 1 in 94 | $11.49 | 5.2× |
| [Premium Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/247) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $156 | 1 in 100 | $184 | 1.2× |
| [3I/ATLAS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/495) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 100 | $124 | 6.2× |
| [FOXIE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/foxie-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $96.82 | 1 in 108 | $74.94 | 0.8× |
| [STRATY JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/straty-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $145 | 1 in 110 | $72.66 | 0.5× |
| [Denis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/883200) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $25.00 | 1 in 136 | $83.93 | 3.4× |
| [Bloody Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/465) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 167 | $136 | 6.8× |
| [Blue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/blue) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $14.99 | 1 in 191 | $53.92 | 3.6× |
| [Gamma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1040) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $5.21 | 1 in 200 | $51.23 | 9.8× |
| [Team Battles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/393) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $23.45 | 1 in 200 | $197 | 8.4× |
| [Spooky Loot Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/461) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 200 | $151 | 7.6× |
| [Ocean Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/100) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $15.00 | 1 in 262 | $83.93 | 5.6× |
| [SERPENT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/serpent) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $59.95 | 1 in 357 | $71.71 | 1.2× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/m4a4) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $6.90 | 1 in 500 | $59.89 | 8.7× |
| [Toy Soldier](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/toy-soldier) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $7.41 | 1 in 500 | $59.89 | 8.1× |
| [Premium](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/premium) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $31.08 | 1 in 658 | $76.46 | 2.5× |
| [Vis-a-Vis Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $12.00 | 1 in 667 | $177 | 14.8× |
| [Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/collector) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $30.36 | 1 in 671 | $74.44 | 2.5× |
| [Spore Tracker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635570) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $12.00 | 1 in 714 | $130 | 10.8× |
| [Classified](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/classified) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $8.00 | 1 in 885 | $68.76 | 8.6× |
| [Risk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/risk) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $1.05 | 1 in 1,000 | $59.89 | 57.0× |
| [Fireflies](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/fireflies) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $4.08 | 1 in 1,000 | $59.89 | 14.7× |
| [2020](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/269) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $3.13 | 1 in 1,000 | $197 | 62.8× |
| [Final Dance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/final-dance) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $16.00 | 1 in 1,235 | $74.44 | 4.7× |
| [Killjoy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/killjoy) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $18.73 | 1 in 1,408 | $76.46 | 4.1× |
| [Farm M4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/easy-m4) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $0.75 | 1 in 1,429 | $63.68 | 84.9× |
| [Terror](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $9.56 | 1 in 2,000 | $59.89 | 6.3× |
| [Morning Fog](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635287) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $2.00 | 1 in 2,703 | $134 | 66.8× |
| [MyZone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/363) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $3.00 | 1 in 3,030 | $86.90 | 29.0× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [2020 $3.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/269) battle [renzo](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/renzo) $3.13 $197 62.81x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [2020 $3.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/269) battle [MariaJuana](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/MariaJuana) $3.13 $197 62.81x 2026-11-09 06:04 UTC

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [2020 $3.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/269) battle [DragonLoli4Life](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/DragonLoli4Life) $3.13 $197 62.81x 2026-11-08 01:46 UTC

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [2020 $3.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/269) battle [wild ranger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/wild%20ranger) $3.13 $197 62.81x 2026-11-07 11:44 UTC

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [GAMMA CASE $3.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/218) battle [冰糖肥肠](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%86%B0%E7%B3%96%E8%82%A5%E8%82%A0) $3.58 $197 54.91x 2026-11-07 05:28 UTC

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [2020 $3.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/269) battle [Manni Mond // hellcase.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Manni%20Mond%20%2F%2F%20hellcase.com) $3.13 $197 62.81x 2026-11-03 19:54 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Dead Space $1.20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/84) battle [damnbri81](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/damnbri81) $1.20 $102 85.32x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [The Gamma Collection $1.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/160) battle [CacauZera NTC](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/CacauZera%20NTC) $1.00 $102 102.4x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Dead Space $1.20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/84) battle [AimLock N1 Impossible](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/AimLock%20N1%20Impossible) $1.20 $102 85.32x 2026-11-11 10:04 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [The Gamma Collection $1.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/160) battle [moniken1337 /S/](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/moniken1337%20%2FS%2F) $1.00 $97.50 97.50x 2026-11-11 01:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new&window=all)

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Elfs Rifle $2.40](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/elfs-rifle) battle Hidden $2.40 4.8 coins $15.17 30.34 coins 6.32x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Gamma Case $2.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) battle Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $11.49 17.68 gems 5.17x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Tranquillity $11.29](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/eb0db641e6c2258bd311f8535499e9a0) battle Hidden $11.29 18.38 coins $16.01 26.06 coins 1.42x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Gamma Case $2.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) battle Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $11.49 17.68 gems 5.17x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Gamma Case $2.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) battle Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $11.49 17.68 gems 5.17x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Gamma Case $2.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) battle Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $11.49 17.68 gems 5.17x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Gamma Case $2.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) battle Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $11.49 17.68 gems 5.17x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Poseidon $12.27](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/087c27d58482ff7d207939625ca943aa) battle [guy crimson](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/guy%20crimson) $12.27 19.98 coins $18.81 30.62 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 19:19 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Poseidon $12.27](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/087c27d58482ff7d207939625ca943aa) battle Hidden $12.27 19.98 coins $18.81 30.62 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 19:19 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Gamma Case $2.22](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/gamma-case) battle Hidden $2.22 3.42 gems $11.49 17.68 gems 5.17x 2026-11-11 19:18 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt