---
title: "M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 2,791 drops on 16 sites in 7 days, worth $3.59 to $1,566. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New)

weapon, classified · M4A4 · Hellfire · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 2,791 · on 16 sites

Average value · $78.52 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $3.59

Highest · $1,566

In cases · 50 · with published odds

Price spread · 3426% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 1,263 | $58.34 | $45.22 | $93.11 | 13h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 629 | $44.41 | $44.42 | $44.42 | 13h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 592 | $63.52 | $3.59 | $420 | 13h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 167 | $281 | $279 | $281 | 13h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 36 | $289 | $265 | $320 | 13h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 26 | $55.29 | $55.29 | $55.29 | 13h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 19 | $104 | $104 | $104 | 2d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 17 | $349 | $298 | $459 | 1d |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 12 | $107 | $56.26 | $575 | 13h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 11 | $350 | $323 | $374 | 13h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 9 | $359 | $359 | $359 | 1d |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 6 | $440 | $408 | $488 | 13h |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | 1 | $59.00 | $59.00 | $59.00 | 1d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $1,566 | $1,566 | $1,566 | 6d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 1 | $299 | $299 | $299 | 3d |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 1 | $367 | $367 | $367 | 7d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Molten Lava](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/molten-lava) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $33.14 | 20.0% | $53.05 | 1.6× |
| [Blaze Fire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/blaze-fire) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $13.28 | 15.0% | $44.42 | 3.3× |
| [Flame Thrower](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flame-thrower) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $18.98 | 10.0% | $39.44 | 2.1× |
| [Terrorist Loadout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/terrorist-loadout) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $23.52 | 1 in 13 | $53.05 | 2.3× |
| [Sightless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sightless) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $98.43 | 1 in 14 | $279 | 2.8× |
| [Skeletal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/skeletal) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $30.01 | 1 in 15 | $45.22 | 1.5× |
| [Safehouse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/safehouse) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $21.91 | 1 in 25 | $44.42 | 2.0× |
| [TURBO WIN JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $381 | 1 in 27 | $345 | 0.9× |
| [POMPA TEAM JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/pompa-team-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $495 | 1 in 32 | $345 | 0.7× |
| [Eclipse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eclipse) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $18.02 | 1 in 33 | $44.42 | 2.5× |
| [Eruption](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/eruption) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $29.91 | 1 in 33 | $128 | 4.3× |
| [ISAMU V3 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v3-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $1,408 | 1 in 48 | $345 | 0.2× |
| [Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $15.26 | 1 in 53 | $59.04 | 3.9× |
| [Hell case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/hell-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $74.05 | 1 in 67 | $420 | 5.7× |
| [Ignite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/60) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $8.00 | 1 in 67 | $59.00 | 7.4× |
| [ISAMU V2 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v2-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $514 | 1 in 72 | $345 | 0.7× |
| [Lightning Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/lightning-case) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $52.68 | 1 in 83 | $279 | 5.3× |
| [Operation Hydra Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $15.72 | 1 in 94 | $32.89 | 2.1× |
| [BABUSHKA JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $308 | 1 in 126 | $345 | 1.1× |
| [10% M4A](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-m4a) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $19.66 | 1 in 133 | $259 | 13.2× |
| [Cheatcode](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cheatcode) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $22.51 | 1 in 200 | $279 | 12.4× |
| [The Icebreaker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1021895) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $8.00 | 1 in 219 | $77.69 | 9.7× |
| [Kim Bomb Un](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kim-bomb-un) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $4.24 | 1 in 238 | $93.11 | 22.0× |
| [Hotpizza deliveryman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/103) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $55.00 | 1 in 333 | $359 | 6.5× |
| [SAMEY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1375961) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.00 | 1 in 382 | $105 | 10.5× |
| [Opulent Treasures](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/opulent-treasures) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $132 | 1 in 450 | $361 | 2.7× |
| [Catch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/catch) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $16.28 | 1 in 500 | $279 | 17.1× |
| [BABUSHKA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/babushka) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $153 | 1 in 500 | $345 | 2.3× |
| [Tent Builder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635103) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $55.00 | 1 in 538 | $691 | 12.6× |
| [Cursed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cursed) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $30.02 | 1 in 667 | $279 | 9.3× |
| [TURBO WIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/turbo-win) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $50.00 | 1 in 667 | $345 | 6.9× |
| [Jackpot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/jackpot) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $34.23 | 1 in 728 | $293 | 8.6× |
| [SPELL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spell) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $17.38 | 1 in 760 | $280 | 16.1× |
| [Waterproof](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/144) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $20.00 | 1 in 787 | $360 | 18.0× |
| [Eureka](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/eureka) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $10.84 | 1 in 1,000 | $279 | 25.7× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/m4a4) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $6.90 | 1 in 1,000 | $279 | 40.4× |
| [Wild West](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $47.83 | 1 in 1,000 | $279 | 5.8× |
| [Cushion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $18.46 | 1 in 1,000 | $279 | 15.1× |
| [Svert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/234) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $14.00 | 1 in 1,053 | $288 | 20.5× |
| [ISAMU V3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/isamu-v3) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $75.00 | 1 in 1,389 | $345 | 4.6× |
| [Dauntless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dauntless) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $36.96 | 1 in 1,538 | $368 | 10.0× |
| [Claustrophobia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/claustrophobia) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $5.67 | 1 in 2,222 | $279 | 49.1× |
| [Nothing Weird](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/nothing-weird) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $21.00 | 1 in 3,333 | $361 | 17.2× |
| [SZELI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1544251) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.00 | 1 in 3,448 | $360 | 36.0× |
| [Grim](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/287) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $13.73 | 1 in 5,000 | $1,058 | 77.1× |
| [Quarter Billion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/quarter-billion) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $14.49 | 1 in 5,263 | $368 | 25.4× |
| [POMPA TEAM](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/pompa-team) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $35.50 | 1 in 5,556 | $345 | 9.7× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/m4a4) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $7.21 | 1 in 5,556 | $292 | 40.5× |
| [Fire Shock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/101) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.50 | 1 in 5,882 | $350 | 33.4× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/32) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $5.00 | 1 in 9,091 | $311 | 62.3× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Diablo $59.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgocases/diablo) [Lulao](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgocases/Lulao) $59.99 $1,566 26.10x 2026-11-05 16:46 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [So Close $155](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/3880) battle Hidden $155 240 CSBATTLE\_COIN $575 892 CSBATTLE\_COIN 3.72x 2026-11-09 15:28 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [M4A4 $5.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/32) battle [MALLOY](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MALLOY) $5.00 $311 62.26x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [M4A4 $5.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/32) battle Hidden $5.00 $311 62.26x 2026-11-06 21:16 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [This Case Is Bad 2.0 $0.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4b0d4a229) battle [Juiceman4prez](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Juiceman4prez) $0.99 $300 302.6x 2026-11-07 18:03 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Classified $4.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/23) battle Hidden $4.80 $298 62.16x 2026-11-10 20:56 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Classified $4.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/23) battle Hidden $4.80 $298 62.16x 2026-11-10 12:01 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Classified $4.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/23) battle [auxtwq](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/auxtwq) $4.80 $298 62.16x 2026-11-10 11:52 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [54254 $0.83](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-81d70b8a1) battle [jisus\_.06](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/jisus_.06) $0.83 $273 328.4x 2026-11-10 09:33 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Chrissy Red 2% $2.20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chrissy-red-2percent) battle Hidden $2.20 3.38 gems $128 197 gems 58.36x 2026-11-02 23:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-hellfire-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Revolution $15.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7cb17dd97af176e3caf575ebb6d412da) battle [Mobgoloiidd](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Mobgoloiidd) $15.26 24.85 coins $59.04 96.12 coins 3.87x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Skeletal $30.01](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/23ae23a8a49ba18366f8bc07b89b8851) battle Hidden $30.01 48.86 coins $45.22 73.62 coins 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Revolution $15.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7cb17dd97af176e3caf575ebb6d412da) battle Hidden $15.26 24.85 coins $59.04 96.12 coins 3.87x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Skeletal $30.01](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/23ae23a8a49ba18366f8bc07b89b8851) battle Hidden $30.01 48.86 coins $45.22 73.62 coins 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Skeletal $30.01](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/23ae23a8a49ba18366f8bc07b89b8851) battle Hidden $30.01 48.86 coins $45.22 73.62 coins 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:32 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Revolution $15.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7cb17dd97af176e3caf575ebb6d412da) battle [JJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/JJ) $15.26 24.85 coins $59.04 96.12 coins 3.87x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Revolution $15.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/7cb17dd97af176e3caf575ebb6d412da) battle [早く生きて、早く死ぬ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/%E6%97%A9%E3%81%8F%E7%94%9F%E3%81%8D%E3%81%A6%E3%80%81%E6%97%A9%E3%81%8F%E6%AD%BB%E3%81%AC) $15.26 24.85 coins $59.04 96.12 coins 3.87x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Cursed $3.54](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/cursed) battle Hidden $3.54 5.06 coins $55.29 78.98 coins 15.61x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Flame Thrower $18.98](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/flame-thrower) battle Hidden $18.98 29.2 gems $39.44 60.68 gems 2.08x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) [Skeletal $30.01](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/23ae23a8a49ba18366f8bc07b89b8851) battle Hidden $30.01 48.86 coins $45.22 73.62 coins 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:05 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt