---
title: "M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 359 drops on 9 sites in 7 days, worth $13.96 to $63.42. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New)

weapon, violet · M4A4 · Polysoup · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 359 · on 9 sites

Average value · $37.67 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $13.96

Highest · $63.42

In cases · 7 · with published odds

Price spread · 354% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 147 | $63.42 | $63.42 | $63.42 | 21h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 75 | $13.96 | $13.96 | $13.96 | 21h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 46 | $19.54 | $19.54 | $19.54 | 21h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 45 | $25.00 | $25.00 | $25.00 | 1d |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 15 | $24.16 | $24.02 | $24.42 | 21h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 11 | $18.81 | $18.65 | $19.36 | 21h |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 10 | $24.83 | $23.84 | $26.29 | 21h |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 9 | $31.53 | $29.58 | $36.18 | 21h |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $26.95 | $26.95 | $26.95 | 3d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Graphic Pass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $22.81 | 1 in 13 | $13.96 | 0.6× |
| [Sniper Hunter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/167) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $225 | 1 in 33 | $63.42 | 0.3× |
| [VISION](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/vision) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $24.69 | 1 in 35 | $26.26 | 1.1× |
| [Graphicdesign](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/graphicdesign) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $8.49 | 1 in 37 | $19.08 | 2.2× |
| [Graphic Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/graphic-collection) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $4.00 | 1 in 266 | $26.30 | 6.6× |
| [Graphic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568729) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $2.20 | 1 in 391 | $19.54 | 8.9× |
| [Helper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635100) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.50 | 1 in 2,222 | $65.67 | 43.8× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [SUSPCT FREE CASE $0.15](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/602384) battle [SPOKO ZIOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/SPOKO%20ZIOM) $0.15 0.15 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $25.00 25 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 166.7x 2026-11-07 16:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-polysoup-factory-new&window=all)

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Graphic Pass $22.81](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass) battle Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $13.96 21.48 gems 0.61x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Graphic $2.20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568729) battle Hidden $2.20 $19.54 8.88x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Graphic Pass $22.81](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass) battle Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $13.96 21.48 gems 0.61x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Sniper Hunter $225](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/167) battle [silentpiranha](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/silentpiranha) $225 225 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $63.42 63.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.28x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Graphic Pass $22.81](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/graphic-pass) battle Hidden $22.81 35.09 gems $13.96 21.48 gems 0.61x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [The Graphic Design Collection $2.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/295) battle [Dyeho](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Dyeho) $2.80 $36.18 12.92x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [The Graphic Design Collection $2.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/295) battle [Coral](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/Coral) $2.80 $36.18 12.92x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Sniper Hunter $225](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/167) [Aurora](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Aurora) $225 225 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $63.42 63.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.28x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Sniper Hunter $225](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/167) battle [Gunnsi :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Gunnsi%20%3A3) $225 225 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $63.42 63.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.28x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-factory-new) [Sniper Hunter $225](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/167) battle [AAAAAA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/AAAAAA) $225 225 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $63.42 63.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.28x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

violet · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
