---
title: "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 3,237 drops on 13 sites in 7 days, worth $3.62 to $48.70. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New)

weapon, #8847ff · M4A4 · Sheet Lightning · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 3,237 · on 13 sites

Average value · $5.16 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $3.62

Highest · $48.70

In cases · 18 · with published odds

Price spread · 1246% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 1,005 | $3.92 | $3.84 | $4.15 | 21h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 842 | $4.57 | $4.57 | $4.57 | 21h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 601 | $4.36 | $4.36 | $4.36 | 21h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 339 | $3.96 | $3.93 | $4.06 | 21h |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 197 | $12.26 | $8.08 | $16.83 | 21h |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 107 | $4.85 | $4.47 | $5.06 | 21h |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 33 | $5.11 | $5.10 | $5.13 | 21h |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 29 | $3.99 | $3.97 | $4.26 | 21h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 24 | $14.96 | $14.96 | $14.96 | 21h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 24 | $3.62 | $3.62 | $3.62 | 21h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 19 | $48.70 | $48.70 | $48.70 | 1d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 10 | $32.37 | $32.37 | $32.37 | 1d |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 7 | $4.84 | $4.83 | $4.87 | 1d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Dauntless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dauntless) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $36.96 | 15.5% | $5.13 | 0.1× |
| [Shockwave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $47.36 | 10.0% | $14.96 | 0.3× |
| [Boreal Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/boreal-collection) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $3.00 | 1 in 14 | $5.10 | 1.7× |
| [Genos](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/genos) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $4.13 | 1 in 17 | $3.97 | 1.0× |
| [Furious Jalapeño](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/140) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $11.00 | 1 in 20 | $4.36 | 0.4× |
| [Evelone 192](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evelone192) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $32.99 | 1 in 26 | $3.97 | 0.1× |
| [M 4a 4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/m4a4) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.49 | 1 in 29 | $3.97 | 1.6× |
| [MACHINE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/machine) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $54.25 | 1 in 30 | $5.03 | 0.1× |
| [FERRO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $30.00 | 1 in 38 | $5.06 | 0.2× |
| [FERRO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/ferro-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $484 | 1 in 46 | $4.90 | 0.0× |
| [Frank](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/frank) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $30.00 | 1 in 55 | $3.97 | 0.1× |
| [STORM](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/storm) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $16.42 | 1 in 90 | $5.03 | 0.3× |
| [M4A4 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $287 | 1 in 205 | $5.08 | 0.0× |
| [Boreal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568604) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $0.45 | 1 in 228 | $4.57 | 10.2× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.75 | 1 in 313 | $5.08 | 1.8× |
| [Boreal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $0.35 | 1 in 333 | $4.15 | 11.9× |
| [ANCIENT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $21.42 | 1 in 526 | $5.03 | 0.2× |
| [Boreal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/boreal) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.44 | 1 in 837 | $3.97 | 9.0× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [R4C3 CHEAP $0.20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/576148) battle [NT | GHOST](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/NT%20%7C%20GHOST) $0.20 0.2 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $48.70 48.7 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 243.5x 2026-11-07 18:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new&window=all)

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) battle Hidden $0.35 $4.15 11.86x 2026-11-11 20:55 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) [German100](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/German100) $0.35 $4.15 11.86x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal Cougar $0.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569111) battle [pedałekspermiarz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/peda%C5%82ekspermiarz) $0.80 $4.57 5.71x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal Cougar $0.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1569111) battle Hidden $0.80 $4.57 5.71x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC

[G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.45](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1568604) battle Hidden $0.45 $4.57 10.16x 2026-11-11 20:38 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) [ultra instinct](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ultra%20instinct) $0.35 $4.15 11.86x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) battle Hidden $0.35 $4.15 11.86x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) [cayde24](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/cayde24) $0.35 $4.15 11.86x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [Boreal $0.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/boreal-collection) [Chip Bungus](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Chip%20Bungus) $0.35 $4.15 11.86x 2026-11-11 20:29 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) [delux angyy $3.25](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/delux-angyy) battle Hidden $3.25 5 gems $14.96 23.01 gems 4.60x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC

#8847ff · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt