---
title: "M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 1,424 drops on 14 sites in 7 days, worth $8.01 to $204. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new)

# M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)

weapon, restricted · M4A4 · Spider Lily · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 1,424 · on 14 sites

Average value · $26.78 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $8.01

Highest · $204

In cases · 26 · with published odds

Price spread · 2348% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 463 | $8.33 | $8.01 | $8.54 | 6h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 360 | $11.03 | $11.04 | $11.04 | 1d |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 305 | $51.24 | $47.36 | $56.95 | 6h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 73 | $47.69 | $45.71 | $50.69 | 6h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 68 | $50.68 | $50.68 | $50.68 | 6h |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 55 | $23.61 | $23.61 | $23.61 | 6h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 47 | $28.32 | $28.32 | $28.32 | 3d |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 37 | $78.06 | $72.32 | $91.48 | 6h |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 9 | $167 | $167 | $169 | 2d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 2 | $141 | $141 | $141 | 5d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 2 | $74.41 | $74.41 | $74.41 | 2d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $204 | $204 | $204 | 7d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $47.02 | $47.02 | $47.02 | 7d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 1 | $53.86 | $53.86 | $53.86 | 2d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Eden](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/eden) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $25.01 | 39.0% | $11.04 | 0.4× |
| [Phantom Troupe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $372 | 26.0% | $8.14 | 0.0× |
| [Rolling the Dice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rolling-the-dice) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $64.12 | 17.0% | $8.53 | 0.1× |
| [Killshot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/killshot) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $247 | 12.5% | $11.04 | 0.0× |
| [50 50 Plugs](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/248) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $12.53 | 12.5% | $23.61 | 1.9× |
| [Celebration](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/celebration) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $89.94 | 10.0% | $8.01 | 0.1× |
| [Tourist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $25.72 | 1 in 20 | $11.04 | 0.4× |
| [Operation Riptide Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $3.71 | 1 in 31 | $8.54 | 2.3× |
| [Anubis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/anubis) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $2.75 | 1 in 40 | $11.04 | 4.0× |
| [Bulletstorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletstorm) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $4.49 | 1 in 40 | $11.04 | 2.5× |
| [Cobalt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/789) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $1.78 | 1 in 77 | $23.61 | 13.2× |
| [Translucent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/translucent) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $21.29 | 1 in 100 | $50.69 | 2.4× |
| [Diablo Howl](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/59) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $24.75 | 1 in 125 | $50.68 | 2.0× |
| [M4A4 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $287 | 1 in 164 | $64.61 | 0.2× |
| [Vis-a-Vis Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/438) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $12.00 | 1 in 571 | $167 | 13.9× |
| [Exclusive "Case X" Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/432) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $8.52 | 1 in 833 | $167 | 19.6× |
| [Sterile](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sterile) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $4.99 | 1 in 1,000 | $50.69 | 10.2× |
| [Hyper Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hyper-beast) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $8.00 | 1 in 3,448 | $72.89 | 9.1× |
| [Operation Riptide Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $12.02 | 1 in 5,000 | $141 | 11.7× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 6,250 | $72.89 | 13.9× |
| [Fragadelphia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/489) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $1.00 | 1 in 10,000 | $169 | 169.1× |
| [Zaprcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/zaprcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.14 | 1 in 12,346 | $47.02 | 22.0× |
| [Down Bad](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/down-bad) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $0.13 | 1 in 20,000 | $11.04 | 84.9× |
| [Autobahn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/autobahn) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $0.65 | 1 in 50,000 | $72.89 | 112.1× |
| [M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/m4a4) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.75 | 1 in 100,000 | $64.61 | 23.5× |
| [Maximized](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/maximized) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $1.82 | 1 in 333,333 | $50.69 | 27.9× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Fragadelphia $1.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/489) battle [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $1.00 $169 169.1x 2026-11-09 17:01 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Down Bad $0.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/down-bad) battle Hidden $0.13 0.26 coins $11.04 22.07 coins 84.88x 2026-11-11 18:12 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Down Bad $0.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/down-bad) battle Hidden $0.13 0.26 coins $11.04 22.07 coins 84.88x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Down Bad $0.13](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/down-bad) battle Hidden $0.13 0.26 coins $11.04 22.07 coins 84.88x 2026-11-03 11:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Sterile $4.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sterile) battle Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $50.69 72.42 coins 10.16x 2026-11-12 06:47 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Translucent $21.29](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/translucent) battle Hidden $21.29 30.41 coins $50.69 72.42 coins 2.38x 2026-11-12 06:18 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Diablo Howl $24.75](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/59) battle [Ambush](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Ambush) $24.75 24.75 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $50.68 50.68 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.05x 2026-11-12 06:09 UTC

[CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Fire Serpent $14.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgofast/677) battle [sozziopat \[ПуТь in CreW\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgofast/sozziopat%20%5B%D0%9F%D1%83%D0%A2%D1%8C%20in%20CreW%5D) $14.00 $91.48 6.53x 2026-11-12 05:08 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle [Clever Beaver](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Clever%20Beaver) $3.71 5.71 gems $8.54 13.14 gems 2.30x 2026-11-12 05:05 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [5% NGOOS'S M4A4 (New) $5.63](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-a7bc6766f) battle Hidden $5.79 $56.33 9.73x 2026-11-12 03:54 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Phantom Troupe $372](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe) battle [eeeddd55cX](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/eeeddd55cX) $372 573 gems $8.14 12.52 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:01 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Phantom Troupe $372](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe) battle Hidden $372 573 gems $8.14 12.52 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:54 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle [yn6](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/yn6) $3.71 5.71 gems $8.54 13.14 gems 2.30x 2026-11-12 02:36 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $8.54 13.14 gems 2.30x 2026-11-12 02:28 UTC

restricted · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
