---
title: "M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 700 drops on 12 sites in 7 days, worth $47.18 to $13.2K. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T03:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new)

# M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New)

weapon, covert · M4A4 · The Coalition · Factory New. Market name: M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 700 · on 12 sites

Average value · $648 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $47.18

Highest · $13.2K

In cases · 35 · with published odds

Price spread · 2690% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 328 | $229 | $47.18 | $549 | 3h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 115 | $301 | $301 | $301 | 3h |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 95 | $301 | $301 | $301 | 3h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 50 | $1,025 | $1,025 | $1,025 | 3h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 50 | $252 | $249 | $276 | 3h |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 31 | $6,390 | $322 | $13.2K | 2d |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 11 | $1,136 | $947 | $1,217 | 1d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 8 | $922 | $889 | $956 | 3d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 5 | $5,440 | $5,440 | $5,440 | 2d |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 3 | $1,066 | $1,051 | $1,073 | 5d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 3 | $694 | $694 | $694 | 4d |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 1 | $913 | $913 | $913 | 1d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $533 | 30.0% | $216 | 0.4× |
| [Fame or Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fame-or-fortune) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $107 | 25.0% | $206 | 1.9× |
| [New Money](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/new-money) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $970 | 15.0% | $296 | 0.3× |
| [Empire Builder](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/empire-builder) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $38.12 | 15.0% | $47.18 | 1.2× |
| [Crypto](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/crypto) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $67.94 | 10.0% | $207 | 3.0× |
| [Lost Treasure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lost-treasure) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $144 | 1 in 25 | $301 | 2.1× |
| [SPACE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $30.08 | 1 in 33 | $184 | 6.1× |
| [Mad Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/111) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $3,000 | 1 in 33 | $1,025 | 0.3× |
| [WARZONE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $257 | 1 in 60 | $1,117 | 4.4× |
| [Cyber Burst](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635152) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $310 | 1 in 98 | $1,217 | 3.9× |
| [Vice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $86.50 | 1 in 100 | $301 | 3.5× |
| [Cursed Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cursed-gold) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $21.18 | 1 in 100 | $549 | 25.9× |
| [Inheritance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/63) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $28.00 | 1 in 100 | $260 | 9.3× |
| [Spellcaster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/spellcaster) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $79.18 | 1 in 133 | $913 | 11.5× |
| [Birthday Bash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e34) | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | $20.46 | 1 in 133 | $327 | 16.0× |
| [Shadow Optics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635150) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $150 | 1 in 325 | $1,217 | 8.1× |
| [Pre Aim](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pre-aim) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $12.69 | 1 in 333 | $301 | 23.7× |
| [Conquest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/conquest) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $47.60 | 1 in 333 | $913 | 19.2× |
| [Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $15.26 | 1 in 400 | $301 | 19.7× |
| [Omen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/omen) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $3.26 | 1 in 1,000 | $301 | 92.4× |
| [Data Blitz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635151) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $250 | 1 in 1,471 | $1,217 | 4.9× |
| [Jurassic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $15.00 | 1 in 1,724 | $947 | 63.1× |
| [Golden Fury](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635616) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $24.00 | 1 in 1,724 | $1,163 | 48.5× |
| [Deal Agents](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635099) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $50.00 | 1 in 1,852 | $2,396 | 47.9× |
| [Angel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.50 | 1 in 1,961 | $1,195 | 29.5× |
| [Night Ledger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635093) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $100 | 1 in 2,326 | $1,353 | 13.5× |
| [Cannon Blast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635472) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $35.00 | 1 in 2,500 | $2,293 | 65.5× |
| [WARZONE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/warzone) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $75.00 | 1 in 5,000 | $1,152 | 15.4× |
| [MemoTV CS2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/450) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $17.05 | 1 in 5,000 | $1,577 | 92.5× |
| [Bermuda](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/bermuda) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $14.25 | 1 in 10,000 | $913 | 64.1× |
| [Skin Club case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/482) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $35.40 | 1 in 10,000 | $1,609 | 45.4× |
| [10% M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/428) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $17.10 | 1 in 20,000 | $964 | 56.4× |
| [Contagion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/contagion) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $24.80 | 1 in 76,923 | $913 | 36.8× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 100,000 | $965 | 183.8× |
| [Beer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/beer) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $1.80 | 1 in 1,000,000 | $928 | 515.5× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 15:35 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 15:30 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 15:25 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 15:25 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 10:24 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 10:24 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 10:23 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 10:23 UTC

[CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Big Data $6,342](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/2376) battle Hidden $6,342 9,830 CSBATTLE\_COIN $13.2K 20,388 CSBATTLE\_COIN 2.07x 2026-11-04 10:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new&window=all)

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 03:02 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 03:02 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle [eeeddd55cX](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/eeeddd55cX) $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:30 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle [fenom](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fenom) $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:30 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:30 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:29 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Fortune $533](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/fortune) battle Hidden $533 820 gems $216 333 gems 0.41x 2026-11-12 02:29 UTC

covert · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt