--- title: "MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New): case drops & odds" description: "MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 255 drops on 11 sites in 7 days, worth $4.46 to $28.54. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new rendered: 2026-11-12T01:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) # MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon, #8847ff · MP5-SD · Autumn Twilly · Factory New. Market name: MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price. Drops, 7d · 255 · on 11 sites Average value · $12.53 · site prices, drop-weighted Lowest · $4.46 Highest · $28.54 In cases · 8 · with published odds Price spread · 541% · highest vs lowest site average ## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it | Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 84 | $4.50 | $4.50 | $4.50 | 1d | | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 60 | $22.57 | $22.57 | $22.57 | 1d | | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 32 | $4.46 | $4.46 | $4.46 | 3d | | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | 28 | $8.46 | $8.46 | $8.46 | 1d | | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 19 | $28.54 | $28.54 | $28.54 | 1d | | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 19 | $15.46 | $14.59 | $15.70 | 3d | | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 4 | $15.51 | $15.51 | $15.51 | 7d | | [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 4 | $28.11 | $28.11 | $28.11 | 2d | | [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 3 | $18.63 | $18.63 | $18.64 | 8d | | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 1 | $5.51 | $5.51 | $5.51 | 5d | | [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 1 | $11.82 | $11.82 | $11.82 | 5d | A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices. ## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes | Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Town Salem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/town-salem) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $45.92 | 11.0% | $4.46 | 0.1× | | [Battle Knight](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/battle-knight) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $40.46 | 11.0% | $4.46 | 0.1× | | [Stayin Alive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/230) | [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) | $4.70 | 1 in 13 | $8.46 | 1.8× | | [Train 2021](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/train2021) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $8.99 | 1 in 28 | $14.43 | 1.6× | | [Safe Wager](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/safe-wager) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $2.47 | 1 in 50 | $4.46 | 1.8× | | [ENTRY MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $5.00 | 1 in 112 | $22.57 | 4.5× | | [Slow and Steady](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $2.92 | 1 in 200 | $28.54 | 9.8× | | [Mp 5](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mp5) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.25 | 1 in 83,333 | $14.43 | 57.7× | ## Biggest drops · of this item, by value **No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new&window=all) [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [ENTRY MOUZ $5.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425) battle [IIII](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/IIII) $5.00 $22.57 4.51x 2026-11-11 23:51 UTC [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Slow and Steady $2.92](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397) battle [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $2.92 $28.54 9.77x 2026-11-11 22:53 UTC [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Slow and Steady $2.92](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/397) battle [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $2.92 $28.54 9.77x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle [Chit \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csbattle/Chit%20%3C3) $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle Hidden $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle Hidden $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle Hidden $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle Hidden $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle Hidden $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) [MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [Assault $8.06](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csbattle/114) battle Hidden $8.06 12.5 CSBATTLE\_COIN $4.50 6.98 CSBATTLE\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC #8847ff · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. 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