--- title: "MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New): case drops & odds" description: "MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 9,360 drops on 11 sites in 7 days, worth $0.13 to $2.81. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new rendered: 2026-11-11T22:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) # MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon, mil spec · MP9 · Modest Threat · Factory New. Market name: MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price. Drops, 7d · 9,360 · on 11 sites Average value · $0.34 · site prices, drop-weighted Lowest · $0.13 Highest · $2.81 In cases · 12 · with published odds Price spread · 2062% · highest vs lowest site average ## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it | Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 5,061 | $0.39 | $0.35 | $0.53 | 22h | | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 1,352 | $0.13 | $0.13 | $0.13 | 22h | | [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 1,016 | $0.24 | $0.24 | $0.24 | 22h | | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 647 | $0.31 | $0.29 | $0.36 | 22h | | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 640 | $0.51 | $0.41 | $0.66 | 22h | | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | 290 | $0.37 | $0.32 | $0.47 | 22h | | [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 216 | $0.38 | $0.35 | $0.44 | 22h | | [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 79 | $0.49 | $0.46 | $0.53 | 22h | | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 53 | $0.47 | $0.45 | $0.50 | 22h | | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 5 | $0.41 | $0.39 | $0.43 | 22h | | [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $2.81 | $2.81 | $2.81 | 7d | A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices. ## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes | Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Danger Zone Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/danger-zone-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1.82 | 11.4% | $0.13 | 0.1× | | [MP9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/320) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $3.00 | 1 in 20 | $0.41 | 0.1× | | [Easter Pop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1352053) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.00 | 1 in 22 | $0.40 | 0.0× | | [Dangerzone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/dangerzone) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.99 | 1 in 24 | $0.39 | 0.1× | | [Mp 9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/mp9) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.99 | 1 in 26 | $0.39 | 0.4× | | [Abandoned Ivy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635253) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $40.00 | 1 in 37 | $1.72 | 0.0× | | [Danger Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/danger-zone) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $2.07 | 1 in 50 | $0.29 | 0.1× | | [TOXIC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/toxic) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.60 | 1 in 69 | $0.41 | 0.2× | | [TOXIC JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/toxic-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $102 | 1 in 125 | $0.41 | 0.0× | | [NIGHTMARE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/nightmare) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $0.40 | 1 in 203 | $0.41 | 1.0× | | [Hell](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hell) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $0.20 | 1 in 901 | $0.45 | 2.3× | | [Milspec](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/milspec) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $0.90 | 1 in 1,266 | $0.45 | 0.5× | ## Biggest drops · of this item, by value **No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=mp9-modest-threat-factory-new&window=all) [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Danger Zone $2.66](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/danger-zone) battle [snackbox\_-](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/snackbox_-) $2.85 $0.47 0.16x 2026-11-11 22:41 UTC [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Danger Zone $2.66](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/danger-zone) battle Hidden $2.85 $0.47 0.16x 2026-11-11 22:41 UTC [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Danger Zone $2.66](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/danger-zone) battle [pTb](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/pTb) $2.85 $0.47 0.16x 2026-11-11 22:41 UTC [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Hell $0.20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hell) battle [VEXOR](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/VEXOR) $0.20 $0.45 2.25x 2026-11-11 22:38 UTC [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Danger Zone $2.07](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/danger-zone) battle [ix\_21](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ix_21) $2.07 2.96 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Danger Zone $2.07](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/danger-zone) battle Hidden $2.07 2.96 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Danger Zone $2.07](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/danger-zone) battle Hidden $2.07 2.96 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:27 UTC [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [MP9 $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/320) battle [👑LySy™](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9F%91%91LySy%E2%84%A2) $3.00 $0.41 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:26 UTC [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [MP9 $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/320) battle [Castel Gandolfo](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Castel%20Gandolfo) $3.00 $0.41 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:23 UTC [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [Devil's Footprint $0.78](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/devils-footprint) battle Hidden $0.79 $0.47 0.59x 2026-11-11 22:23 UTC mil spec · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. 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