---
title: "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 220 drops on 10 sites in 7 days, worth $46.52 to $143. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-13T01:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new)

# StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New)

weapon, classified · M4A1-S · Guardian · Factory New · StatTrak. Market name: StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 220 · on 10 sites

Average value · $72.66 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $46.52

Highest · $143

In cases · 12 · with published odds

Price spread · 183% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 128 | $50.67 | $46.52 | $54.34 | 1d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 59 | $108 | $108 | $108 | 1h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 12 | $99.60 | $96.14 | $104 | 1d |
| [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 10 | $79.83 | $79.83 | $79.83 | 1d |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 3 | $72.42 | $72.42 | $72.42 | 5d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 3 | $100 | $100 | $100 | 9d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 2 | $138 | $138 | $138 | 6d |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | 1 | $74.25 | $74.25 | $74.25 | 9d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 1 | $101 | $101 | $101 | 1d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $143 | $143 | $143 | 7d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Thunderstrike Arsenal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea1) | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | $354 | 28.5% | $79.83 | 0.2× |
| [Anubis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1027) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $150 | 1 in 11 | $74.25 | 0.5× |
| [Undercover](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/undercover) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $58.10 | 1 in 20 | $46.52 | 0.8× |
| [Night Vision](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $14.46 | 1 in 33 | $54.34 | 3.8× |
| [Arctic Expedition](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/210) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $100 | 1 in 66 | $74.25 | 0.7× |
| [Carlitto](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/50) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $48.80 | 1 in 143 | $108 | 2.2× |
| [Cursed Nomad](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1521195) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $12.00 | 1 in 278 | $125 | 10.4× |
| [CS2 (CSGO) Stranger Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/417) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $16.60 | 1 in 500 | $100 | 6.0× |
| [Dauntless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/dauntless) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $36.96 | 1 in 592 | $143 | 3.9× |
| [Never Again](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $8.00 | 1 in 3,846 | $120 | 15.0× |
| [M4A1-S](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/m4a1s) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $9.65 | 1 in 6,250 | $115 | 11.9× |
| [M4 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/m4) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $5.25 | 1 in 10,000 | $120 | 22.9× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [M4 Farm $0.79](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm) [LiilaTerska](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LiilaTerska) $0.79 $101 127.9x 2026-11-12 17:46 UTC

[500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Ez100%Profit $0.45](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/666574444db2a7514e906fbd) battle [user-81c4ab](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-81c4ab) $0.45 749 BUX $79.83 132,996 BUX 177.6x 2026-11-09 17:16 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [0.4 Godlike $0.27](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/04-godlike) battle Hidden $0.27 0.53 coins $72.42 145 coins 273.3x 2026-11-05 21:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new&window=all)

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Carlitto $48.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/50) battle [Kaiz0](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Kaiz0) $48.80 48.8 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $108 108 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 2.22x 2026-11-13 00:59 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Undercover $58.10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/undercover) battle Hidden $58.10 89.39 gems $46.52 71.57 gems 0.80x 2026-11-12 22:15 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Ulgars 10percenter $19.70](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-83fee3255) battle Hidden $19.70 $98.77 5.01x 2026-11-12 21:10 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Ulgars 10percenter $19.70](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-83fee3255) battle Hidden $19.70 $98.77 5.01x 2026-11-12 20:51 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Ulgars 10percenter $19.70](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-83fee3255) battle Hidden $19.70 $98.77 5.01x 2026-11-12 20:44 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Ulgars 10percenter $19.70](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-83fee3255) battle [★ Cr!sTiaN ヅ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E2%98%85%20Cr!sTiaN%20%E3%83%85) $19.70 $98.77 5.01x 2026-11-12 20:44 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [High Syndrome 4% $3.25](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/high-syndrome-4percent) battle Hidden $3.25 5 gems $54.34 83.6 gems 16.72x 2026-11-12 20:39 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Night Vision $14.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision) battle [kekri1980](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kekri1980) $14.46 22.24 gems $54.34 83.6 gems 3.76x 2026-11-12 19:13 UTC

[FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [M4 Farm $0.79](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/farm-m4-farm) [LiilaTerska](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LiilaTerska) $0.79 $101 127.9x 2026-11-12 17:46 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) [Night Vision $14.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision) battle Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $54.34 83.6 gems 3.76x 2026-11-12 16:55 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt