--- title: "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New): case drops & odds" description: "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 324 drops on 5 sites in 7 days, worth $17.62 to $38.56. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new rendered: 2026-11-13T02:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) # StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon, mil spec · XM1014 · Watchdog · Factory New · StatTrak. Market name: StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price. Drops, 7d · 324 · on 5 sites Average value · $22.15 · site prices, drop-weighted Lowest · $17.62 Highest · $38.56 In cases · 3 · with published odds Price spread · 118% · highest vs lowest site average ## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it | Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 124 | $25.44 | $25.44 | $25.44 | 1d | | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 109 | $20.53 | $20.43 | $20.69 | 1d | | [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 82 | $17.62 | $17.62 | $17.62 | 2h | | [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 6 | $38.44 | $37.81 | $38.56 | 4d | | [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 3 | $35.93 | $35.93 | $35.93 | 2d | A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices. ## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes | Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Tamed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tamed) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $54.45 | 15.0% | $20.69 | 0.4× | | [Cerberus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cerberus) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $70.71 | 10.0% | $20.69 | 0.3× | | [The Hedgehog](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $26.99 | 1 in 77 | $25.44 | 0.9× | ## Biggest drops · of this item, by value **No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new&window=all) [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Excalibur $4.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur) battle Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 3.53x 2026-11-13 00:19 UTC [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Excalibur $4.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur) battle Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 3.53x 2026-11-13 00:08 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [The Hedgehog $26.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) battle [アスナ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E3%82%A2%E3%82%B9%E3%83%8A) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $25.44 25.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.94x 2026-11-12 20:41 UTC [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Cerberus $70.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cerberus) battle Hidden $70.71 101 coins $20.69 29.56 coins 0.29x 2026-11-12 20:24 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [The Hedgehog $26.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) [ChickenCowz AU](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/ChickenCowz%20AU) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $25.44 25.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.94x 2026-11-12 20:04 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [The Hedgehog $26.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) battle [Narcoticus](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Narcoticus) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $25.44 25.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.94x 2026-11-12 18:04 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [The Hedgehog $26.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) battle [R.I.P.Eye](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/R.I.P.Eye) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $25.44 25.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.94x 2026-11-12 16:59 UTC [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Cerberus $70.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cerberus) battle Hidden $70.71 101 coins $20.69 29.56 coins 0.29x 2026-11-12 16:18 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [The Hedgehog $26.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/115) battle [F4M4S](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/F4M4S) $26.99 26.99 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $25.44 25.44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.94x 2026-11-12 16:02 UTC [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Excalibur $4.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/excalibur) battle Hidden $4.99 7.13 coins $17.62 25.17 coins 3.53x 2026-11-12 13:30 UTC mil spec · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt