---
title: "★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 393 drops on 17 sites in 7 days, worth $705 to $2,344. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T11:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new)

# ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)

knife, epic · Talon Knife · Fade · Factory New. Market name: ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 393 · on 17 sites

Average value · $987 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $705

Highest · $2,344

In cases · 50 · with published odds

Price spread · 226% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 110 | $1,067 | $1,042 | $1,080 | 11h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 53 | $753 | $746 | $767 | 11h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 48 | $831 | $797 | $832 | 1d |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 42 | $1,048 | $1,029 | $1,066 | 11h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 37 | $853 | $810 | $995 | 11h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 23 | $1,322 | $1,170 | $1,505 | 11h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 19 | $1,032 | $1,032 | $1,032 | 11h |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 19 | $1,169 | $1,169 | $1,169 | 11h |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 11 | $1,095 | $985 | $1,106 | 2d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 10 | $837 | $837 | $837 | 3d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 6 | $816 | $816 | $816 | 6d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 6 | $815 | $808 | $826 | 4d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 3 | $719 | $705 | $725 | 6d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 3 | $2,344 | $2,344 | $2,344 | 3d |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 1 | $911 | $911 | $911 | 7d |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | 1 | $1,500 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 2d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 1 | $1,164 | $1,164 | $1,164 | 3d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Cheddar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1136) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $2,930 | 1 in 11 | $892 | 0.3× |
| [DMG JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dmg-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $548 | 1 in 19 | $1,059 | 1.9× |
| [Mega Smother](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mega-smother) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $641 | 1 in 20 | $1,032 | 1.6× |
| [RISKY JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/risky-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $1,371 | 1 in 24 | $1,059 | 0.8× |
| [Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fade) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $565 | 1 in 25 | $816 | 1.4× |
| [Lucky Grave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/266) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $161 | 1 in 25 | $1,106 | 6.9× |
| [Platinum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/platinum) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $397 | 1 in 26 | $816 | 2.1× |
| [CIRCUS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/circus-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $634 | 1 in 27 | $1,053 | 1.7× |
| [Celestial Symphony](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/212) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $125 | 1 in 33 | $1,245 | 10.0× |
| [Tetris](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tetris) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $82.42 | 1 in 50 | $1,032 | 12.5× |
| [Faded](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/faded) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $105 | 1 in 50 | $832 | 8.0× |
| [NITRO V3 JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $1,296 | 1 in 65 | $1,059 | 0.8× |
| [LORE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lore) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $395 | 1 in 80 | $1,032 | 2.6× |
| [Curved](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/curved) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $289 | 1 in 100 | $797 | 2.8× |
| [Talon Twister](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/386) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $200 | 1 in 100 | $1,500 | 7.5× |
| [NITRO V3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/nitro-v3) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $500 | 1 in 101 | $1,059 | 2.1× |
| [PREMIUM KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/premium-knives) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $375 | 1 in 109 | $1,032 | 2.8× |
| [Talon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/talon) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $365 | 1 in 116 | $816 | 2.2× |
| [Mystery Combo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $106 | 1 in 167 | $1,169 | 11.1× |
| [Checkmate](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/checkmate) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $143 | 1 in 200 | $767 | 5.4× |
| [Beaver Nickle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beaver-nickle) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $54.95 | 1 in 200 | $832 | 15.1× |
| [Talon Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/talon) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $450 | 1 in 253 | $956 | 2.1× |
| [Freecase 10](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/freecase10) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $240 | 1 in 299 | $816 | 3.4× |
| [Shadow Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952614) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $250 | 1 in 318 | $877 | 3.5× |
| [Powerhare](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1163) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $60.50 | 1 in 333 | $1,250 | 20.7× |
| [Nozhcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/nozhcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $196 | 1 in 367 | $816 | 4.2× |
| [Broken Heart](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/379) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $67.50 | 1 in 500 | $985 | 14.6× |
| [DMG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dmg) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $50.00 | 1 in 769 | $1,059 | 21.2× |
| [RISKY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/risky) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $200 | 1 in 833 | $1,059 | 5.3× |
| [No Way](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-way) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $16.09 | 1 in 1,000 | $767 | 47.7× |
| [Cryptic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/455) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $229 | 1 in 1,000 | $1,200 | 5.2× |
| [The Goodlife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/17) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $28.00 | 1 in 1,000 | $1,245 | 44.5× |
| [Shiny Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $250 | 1 in 1,190 | $956 | 3.8× |
| [Feral](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/feral) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $85.38 | 1 in 1,250 | $767 | 9.0× |
| [CIRCUS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/circus) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $80.00 | 1 in 1,250 | $1,059 | 13.2× |
| [KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/256) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $195 | 1 in 2,000 | $1,033 | 5.3× |
| [Ballerina Cappuccina](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/492) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 2,000 | $1,456 | 72.8× |
| [LURKER MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635428) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $14.00 | 1 in 2,439 | $976 | 69.7× |
| [Marble shrums](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/57) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $8.99 | 1 in 2,500 | $837 | 93.1× |
| [Valentine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/valentine) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $11.07 | 1 in 5,000 | $1,032 | 93.2× |
| [Danger Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1039) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $1.61 | 1 in 10,000 | $1,418 | 880.8× |
| [Fine Tools](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/333) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $84.89 | 1 in 10,000 | $985 | 11.6× |
| [Toucan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/toucan) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $39.62 | 1 in 14,286 | $1,151 | 29.0× |
| [Horizon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/horizon-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $2.31 | 1 in 20,000 | $736 | 319.0× |
| [Danger Zone Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/danger-zone-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1.82 | 1 in 20,000 | $736 | 404.4× |
| [Falcons team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/falcons-team) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $22.18 | 1 in 33,333 | $816 | 36.8× |
| [Lucia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/lucia) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.99 | 1 in 62,500 | $816 | 32.6× |
| [Danger Zone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/danger-zone) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $2.07 | 1 in 100,000 | $767 | 369.9× |
| [Heisenberg](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/heisenberg) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $11.64 | 1 in 142,857 | $816 | 70.1× |
| [Liquid team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/liquid-team) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $10.78 | 1 in 166,667 | $816 | 75.7× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Emerald Fang $160](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/28018) battle [RAVE's MILK](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/RAVE's%20MILK) $160 160 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $2,344 2,344 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 14.61x 2026-11-09 09:26 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Emerald Fang $160](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/28018) battle [Thai Ming](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Thai%20Ming) $160 160 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $2,344 2,344 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 14.61x 2026-11-05 15:00 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Integrale $100](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/206) battle [Thai Ming](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Thai%20Ming) $100 100 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $2,344 2,344 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 23.33x 2026-11-05 00:36 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-10 22:24 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-05 19:51 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-03 23:14 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-03 23:04 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-03 23:04 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Abacus $666](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/abacus) battle Hidden $666 951 coins $1,505 2,150 coins 2.26x 2026-11-03 22:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=talon-knife-fade-factory-new&window=all)

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [RISKY JOKER $1,371](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/risky-joker) [Rysiu](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Rysiu) $1,371 $1,059 0.77x 2026-11-12 10:43 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [EXXOT MadeInFade $322](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-408367e75) battle [ExxoT1337™](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ExxoT1337%E2%84%A2) $322 $830 2.58x 2026-11-12 08:48 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [EXXOT MadeInFade $322](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-408367e75) battle Hidden $322 $830 2.58x 2026-11-12 08:47 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Fade Battle $24.23](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) [DannyJC](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DannyJC) $24.36 $965 39.62x 2026-11-12 08:07 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [LORE JOKER $1,325](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lore-joker) battle Hidden $1,299 $1,045 0.80x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [LORE JOKER $1,325](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lore-joker) battle Hidden $1,299 $1,045 0.80x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [LORE JOKER $1,325](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lore-joker) battle Hidden $1,299 $1,045 0.80x 2026-11-12 05:28 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [No Way $16.09](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/no-way) battle Hidden $16.09 22.98 coins $767 1,095 coins 47.65x 2026-11-12 04:04 UTC

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Mystery Combo $106](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dfc3a3fbbe21d24983150fe626a85381) battle [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $106 172 coins $1,169 1,903 coins 11.06x 2026-11-12 03:13 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Mega Smother $641](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mega-smother) battle [peepmeep67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/peepmeep67) $641 1,281 coins $1,032 2,063 coins 1.61x 2026-11-12 03:01 UTC

epic · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt