---
title: "UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 93 drops on 4 sites in 7 days, worth $28.10 to $65.85. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T02:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new)

# UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New)

weapon, consumer · UMP-45 · Caramel · Factory New. Market name: UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 93 · on 4 sites

Average value · $46.20 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $28.10

Highest · $65.85

In cases · 5 · with published odds

Price spread · 126% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 39 | $63.46 | $61.96 | $65.85 | 2h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 30 | $38.12 | $38.12 | $38.12 | 1d |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 20 | $28.10 | $28.10 | $28.10 | 1d |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 4 | $29.01 | $29.01 | $29.01 | 3d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Beehive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $120 | 14.0% | $61.96 | 0.5× |
| [Cyclone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyclone) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $71.60 | 10.8% | $61.96 | 0.9× |
| [BeeBobble](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beebobble) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $203 | 1 in 33 | $28.10 | 0.1× |
| [Shell](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shell) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $10.23 | 1 in 44 | $38.12 | 3.7× |
| [Assault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/assault) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $15.99 | 1 in 94 | $68.09 | 4.3× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

**No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ump-45-caramel-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Cyclone $71.60](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyclone) battle [co](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/co) $71.60 102 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.87x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Cyclone $71.60](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyclone) battle [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $71.60 102 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.87x 2026-11-12 01:20 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Cyclone $71.60](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyclone) battle Hidden $71.60 102 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.87x 2026-11-12 01:18 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Beehive $120](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) battle Hidden $120 172 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 01:16 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Beehive $120](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) battle Hidden $120 172 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 01:14 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Beehive $120](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) battle [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $120 172 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 01:11 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Beehive $120](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) battle Hidden $120 172 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 01:11 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Cyclone $71.60](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cyclone) battle [Call me Johnny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Call%20me%20Johnny) $71.60 102 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.87x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Beehive $120](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) battle Hidden $120 172 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Caramel (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-caramel-factory-new) [Beehive $120](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/beehive) battle Hidden $120 172 coins $61.96 88.52 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC

consumer · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt