--- title: "UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New): case drops & odds" description: "UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 2,616 drops on 10 sites in 7 days, worth $0.08 to $9.03. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new rendered: 2026-11-12T02:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) # UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon, Mil Spec · UMP-45 · Delusion · Factory New. Market name: UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price. Drops, 7d · 2,616 · on 10 sites Average value · $1.94 · site prices, drop-weighted Lowest · $0.08 Highest · $9.03 In cases · 11 · with published odds Price spread · 839% · highest vs lowest site average ## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it | Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 1,118 | $0.97 | $0.08 | $0.98 | 2h | | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 996 | $0.91 | $0.92 | $0.92 | 2h | | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 275 | $5.64 | $5.28 | $5.65 | 2h | | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 165 | $6.95 | $6.68 | $7.94 | 2h | | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 38 | $5.51 | $5.11 | $5.85 | 1d | | [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 10 | $8.59 | $6.99 | $9.03 | 1d | | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 6 | $5.71 | $5.58 | $5.73 | 4d | | [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 5 | $5.52 | $5.52 | $5.52 | 3d | | [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) | 2 | $1.48 | $1.48 | $1.48 | 2d | | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 1 | $5.50 | $5.50 | $5.50 | 2d | A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices. ## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes | Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $3.58 | 16.0% | $0.98 | 0.3× | | [Oxide](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/oxide) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $0.77 | 15.0% | $0.92 | 1.2× | | [Mirage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mirage) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $6.23 | 10.0% | $0.92 | 0.1× | | [OPERATION VANGUARD WEAPON CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/224) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $7.87 | 10.0% | $5.65 | 0.7× | | [Vanguard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vanguard) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $3.49 | 1 in 17 | $5.73 | 1.6× | | [Yellow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/yellow) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $10.99 | 1 in 33 | $5.73 | 0.5× | | [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vanguard) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $2.79 | 1 in 92 | $5.16 | 1.8× | | [UMP-45](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/337) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.00 | 1 in 304 | $6.68 | 6.7× | | [Labyrinth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/labyrinth) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $1.29 | 1 in 398 | $5.16 | 4.0× | | [MIL-SPEC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/mil-spec) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $0.39 | 1 in 2,405 | $5.83 | 15.0× | | [MIL-SPEC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/254) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $1.45 | 1 in 4,000 | $5.28 | 3.6× | ## Biggest drops · of this item, by value **No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ump-45-delusion-factory-new&window=all) [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [UMP-45 $1.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/337) battle Hidden $1.00 $6.68 6.68x 2026-11-12 01:56 UTC [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [UMP-45 $1.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/337) battle Hidden $1.00 $6.68 6.68x 2026-11-12 01:40 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [Einstein cook $0.07](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/einstein-cook) battle Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 15.00x 2026-11-12 01:31 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [eaazzyyyprofit $0.07](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/eaazzyyyprofit) battle [Jorii98](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Jorii98) $0.07 0.1 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 15.00x 2026-11-12 01:26 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [eaazzyyyprofit $0.07](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/eaazzyyyprofit) battle Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 15.00x 2026-11-12 01:25 UTC [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [OPERATION VANGUARD WEAPON CASE $7.87](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/224) battle [Pikakaka](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Pikakaka) $7.87 $5.65 0.72x 2026-11-12 01:16 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case $3.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) battle [SVJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/SVJ) $3.58 5.51 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.27x 2026-11-12 01:12 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case $3.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) battle Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.27x 2026-11-12 01:11 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case $3.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) battle Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.27x 2026-11-12 01:04 UTC [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) [Oxide $0.77](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/oxide) battle Hidden $0.77 1.53 coins $0.92 1.83 coins 1.20x 2026-11-12 00:52 UTC Mil Spec · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. 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